June 23, 2016

West Indies v South Africa Cricket Betting Preview – Friday 24th June by @herefordrich

West Indies v South Africa – 9th ODI Match, Tri-Series live on Sky Sports 3

The Scene

Bridgetown, Barbados, hosts the 9th ODI of the Tri-Series group stage between West Indies and South Africa. This is the last match before the final and is effectively a semi-final clash, with the winners set to face Australia on Sunday. This is the third match between these two sides in this tournament after the West Indies won in Guyana by 4 wickets and the South Africans were victorious in St Kitts by a whopping 139 runs.

Conditions

The rain that caused a no-result between South Africa and Australia earlier in the week shouldn’t get in the way of this decider. There is 20% chance of showers, but that’s pretty normal in the Caribbean at this time of year. We should get a full game.

The Venue

Bridgetown, Barbados, has only hosted 5 completed ODI’s since it hosted the 2007 Cricket World Cup. Here is a list of scores for the side batting first in this period –

282, 248, 171, 239, 117 – Average 211

First Innings Runs

West Indies have only played just 8 ODI’s since the end of the 2015 Cricket World Cup and 3 of those were heavily impacted by rain during their Sri Lankan tour. Here are their scores when batting first (with number of reduced overs faced in brackets) –

282, 116, 206 (36), 214 (38), 159 (26) – Average 244 (based upon RR)

South Africa on the other hand have played 18 ODI’s since the 2015 Cricket World Cup and have batted first on 12 occasions. Here are their last 7 scores when batting first, going back to their tour of India in late 2015 –

343, 189, 188, 262, 438, 270, 303 – Average 284

Teams

West Indies skipper Jason Holder is a doubt having strained a hamstring in Tuesday’s Australia defeat. Burly all-rounder Kieron Pollard is likely to lead if Holder doesn’t pass a late fitness test. Johnson Charles will open the batting alongside Ander Fletcher. Charles has been consistent if not spectacular in the series having scored 150 runs in 5 innings whilst Fletcher is short of runs (72) and has a poor SR of 55. Darren Bravo constantly fails to deliver the volume of runs his talent demands and has been dismissed between 11 and 39 in his 5 knocks. Dinesh Ramdin played a great hand last time out against the Aussies with a run-a-ball 91 whilst Pollard made 67 of his 123 tournament runs in the opening win against South Africa. With the ball Sunil Narine has led the way with 8 wickets – 6 of those came in one match against the South African’s in Guyana. Carlos Brathwaite has bowled predominantly at the death and a series economy rate of a run-a-ball has been impressive. Holder, Jerome Taylor and Sulieman Benn have all struggled to a lowly combined haul of just 8 wickets.

Hashim Amla bought up his 23rd ODI century for South Africa when these sides last met in St Kitts. He’s second behind Samuels (below) in the tournament leading runs chart. Fellow opener Quinton de Kock averages 35.7 and has a top score of 71 whilst Faf du Plessis has only been dismissed once for 136 runs at a SR of 107. Captain AB de Villiers has been strangely quiet having yet to pass 40 in his 4 innings. JP Duminy and Rillee Rossouw will fight it out for the last batting spot. Tahir (below) is comfortably top of the tournament leading wicket takers chart with 13 scalps whilst left-arm spinning colleague Aaron Phangiso has chipped in with 7 wickets in his 3 games. Quick-men Wayne Parnell and Kagiso Rabada have bowled neatly without taking wickets with a combined economy rate of just over 5 an over. Fellow seamer Chris Morris is wicketless despite having bowled 14 overs.

Ones To Watch

Marlon Samuels has enjoyed the last few months in a West Indies shirt. First there was his brilliant contribution in the World T20 final in which he smashed an unbeaten 85* to help his side to victory. Since then he’s hit 92 and 125 against the Australians in this Tri-series, meaning he’s now scored a hundred against every full ICC member. The West Indian number four averages 30 against South Africa in ODI’s and will be keen to continue his fine form here.

Leg spin in limited overs cricket is fast becoming the turn to force for all captains. In Imran Tahir, South Africa have a top class bowler that comes into this ODI having bowled the hosts out with figures of 7-45 in their last meeting in St Kitts. These were the third best figures by a spinner in all ODI’s and with it Tahir became the 4th fastest man to 100 ODI wickets in terms of matches (58)

Runs Markets

If West Indies bat first, I recommend taking any OVERS RUNS around the 255-258 mark.

If South Africa bat first, I recommend taking any OVER RUNS around the 280-283 mark.

Top Batsman Market

With an unreliable top three, let’s look down the order for Kieron Pollard to top score for the West Indies at 9.0 – great value, especially if he ends up as stand-in skipper.

Hashim Amla averages 87.2 in ODI’s against the West Indies and looks in imperious form. No reason not to back him at 4.0 to top score for South Africa.

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @herefordrich.

Eastbridge now fully licensed in the UK!

Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *