Rennes v Brest at Roazhon Park at 19:00 live at BT SPORTS
Rennes suffered only their third defeat in 13 Ligue 1 outings on Tuesday night as Les Rouge et Noir went down 1-0 away Lille. Julien Stephan’s side fell behind to an early goal inside the opening five minutes that beat goalkeeper Edouard Mendy from distance with the Brittany boys failing to bite back thereafter.
Les Rennais could be forgiven for their lack of spark and tired legs having gone 120 minutes against Angers in the Coupe de France last week before needing a 97th-minute winner to get past regional rivals FC Nantes last time out. Despite huffing and puffing, the third-placed outfit rarely really threatened Lille.
Raphinha – who notched Rennes’ winner last Friday – fired a shot over midway through the first-half only for the Brazilian winger to depart injured soon after, and Les Rouge et Noir were second-best for the remainder of the opening 45 minutes with Mendy the busier of the two keepers on show.
Rennes have picked up a league-high 14 points from losing positions but there was to be no way back for them this time. Benjamin Bourigeaud forced a smart reaction save late on for the Brittany outfit who came into the contest with their best-ever points haul (40) after 22 games of a Ligue 1 season.
Rennes can bounce back
Rennes now get the opportunity to recover for Saturday night’s home showdown with Brest. Stephan’s men have registered 10 triumphs in their past 13 league encounters and taken top honours in each of their past six when welcoming clubs outside the top-eight, and so Les Rennais are attractively priced here.
The hosts can be supported at 1.85 with a -0.75 Asian Handicap hurdle. This selection would see our selection return a half-stakes profit should Rennes win by exactly one goal with a full pay-out enjoyed should Les Rouge et Noir run out victorious by two goals or more at their Roazhon Park base.
Visitors Brest have defied pre-season predictions to sit on the cusp of mid-table thanks to their inspired home form. However, Olivier Dall’Oglio’s outfit have been beaten in seven of their 11 away days – including all four trips to the top-half – have 24 hours less time to prepare and boast wretched performance data.
Les Ty’ Zefs are posting sub-38% ratio returns for both Expected Goals (xG) and xG from open play, with Brest also conceding the most shots from inside the penalty area in Ligue 1 since promotion. Exclude beleaguered Toulouse and the newcomers have also scored just six goals in 10 games as guests this term.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Rennes -0.75 at 1.850
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