Manchester United v Tottenham

Jose Mourinho returns to Old Trafford on Wednesday night, looking to get one over on his former employers. He’s one three of his first three games as Tottenham manager, but they’ve been far from convincing. In both of their league games, they’ve taken a 3-0 lead before conceding two goals and nearly chucking the game away.

They also went 2-0 down against Olympiakos in the Champions League but managed to come back and win 4-2. They clearly need to improve defensively, but the fact Mourinho has found a knack of winning games is an encouragement for Spurs.

Manchester United are in contrasting from. They’ve won three of their last thirteen league games and failed to win again against Aston Villa on Sunday. They went 2-1 ahead at Old Trafford in that game but threw away another lead and ended up taking away just a point.

The Red Devils currently sit ninth in the Premier League and, to be honest, they’re lucky to be that high in the table with the way they’re playing at the moment. Ole Gunnar Solskjaer doesn’t seem to be under much pressure, however, if they lose again at home on Wednesday, this could change – especially with, ironically, former Tottenham manager Mauricio Pochettino now on the market.

Tottenham are actually slight favourites for this one, which doesn’t surprise me, but I still think there’s value in backing Mourinho’s side. He will not want to lose this game against his former club and I think Tottenham are more than good enough to avoid defeat against a United side struggling to find any sort of form.

You can back them at 1.920 with a +0.0 Asian Handicap start which works the same as draw no bet. If Spurs win we get a full pay out and a draw would get us our money back.

Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Tottenham 0.00 at 1.920

Chelsea v Aston Villa

After a run of seven wins in a row, Chelsea have now won just two of their last seven games. They lost 1-0 to rivals West Ham on Saturday and seemed to really miss Tammy Abraham up-front. Olivier Giroud was his replacement but didn’t quite fill Abraham’s goalscoring boots. Lampard says he hopes the former Aston Villa loanee will be back to face the club he spent last season on-loan at, which will make a huge impact on the outcome of this game.

That defeat to West Ham was clearly a disappointing one but they recorded an Expected Goals (xG) of 2.73, so they were unlucky to not come away without at least a point. Chelsea’s games always seem to see goals and, before Saturday’s game, they had scored 28 and conceded 19 times in their opening 13 league games.

As I mentioned earlier, Aston Villa got a more than respectable point at Old Trafford on Saturday, proving they are more than capable of competing with the top sides in the league. And they’re more than capable of scoring goals. Jack Grealish is the obvious threat, but the likes of John McGinn and Trezeguet have been in good form lately and a more than capable of scoring goals. They have been leaky at the back too, however, and, since the start of the season, they’ve seen 57 goals in their opening 17 games in all competitions (3.35 per game).

I backed goals in the Chelsea v West Ham game on Saturday, which didn’t come to fruition, but I’m confident that this game will see the goals that normally occur in the Blues’ games. Over 3.25 goals is available at 1.900 and would see a full payout if there are four or more goals, and a half our stake returned if there are just three.

Asian Total Goals Betting Recommendation: Over 3.25 goals at 1.900

Sheffield United v Newcastle

These two teams are the second and ninth lowest scorers in the division, and I don’t think either of them will drastically increase that total on Thursday.

Sheffield United are still battling for a top six spot and currently sit in seventh after their 1-1 draw with Wolves on Sunday. They were struggling to score goals at the start of the season, with the likes of David McGoldrick, Billy Sharp and Oli McBurnie failing to make their mark in the Premier League. One man who has started to hit some form is Lys Mousset, who scored the Blades’ opener at the weekend, but he seems to be the forward who really looks like finding the back of the net.

Defensively they look as solid as ever and their back three is working just as effectively as it was in the Championship last season. George Baldock and Enda Stevens have particularly impressed me at wing-back and they look just as good going forward as they do defensively.

But this selection is based more on Newcastle United. Their front three just aren’t very good. Joelinton, Miguel Almiron and Allan Saint-Maximin have scored one Premier League goal between them this season. Left-back Jetro Willems is the clubs joint top goalscorer this season with two goals, which says everything about their fortunes going forward.

However, like Sheffield United, the back three that Steve Bruce has implemented means that they do look solid defensively. Jamaal Lascelles’ injury has affected this but the form of Federico Fernandez has helped during his absence. Despite conceding two goals on Saturday lunchtime, they showed their defensive quality against Manchester City and I see no reason why they’ll concede two many against Sheffield United on Thursday.

Under 2.25 Asian goals is priced up at 1.800 which I think is a really good price. A draw is probably good enough for both teams and I wouldn’t be surprised to see this one end 0-0. Zero or one goals in the match will give us a full payout and we’d get half payout with three goals.

Asian Total Goals Betting Recommendation: Under 2.25 goals at 1.800

Preview by: @AdamGoodwin

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