St. James Park – Saturday 6th December at 12:45
Jose Mourinho is correctly ignoring the ever increasing murmur from the press and fans alike, around the possibility of his Chelsea team getting through the whole Barclays Premier League season undefeated.
It would be remarkable if the Blues did manage to emulate Arsenal’s famous ‘Invincible’ season of 2003-04 and Edin Hazard for one, thinks it’s possible. Having already played away against both Manchester clubs, Liverpool and Everton, plus at home against Arsenal you can see why he’s starting to believe.
Despite the impressive recent form of Alan Pardew’s Newcastle side, on paper you would not expect this game to be the one in which Chelsea’s unbeaten run comes to an end. But the Magpies have won three of the last six meetings between the teams and will be hopeful of causing the league leaders some problems on Saturday lunchtime.
Obviously, there’s no real value in backing Chelsea at 1.57 and although the 1.95 available about the Blues -1 does look tempting, based on their current form this bet would have only returned a full win in two of their seven away games this season.
Conversely Newcastle +1 is also best price at 1.98 and would have been a winning bet in all but one of their home games so far. However, their recent record against the top sides of W3 D0 L7 doesn’t really give us any confidence that the +1 would be enough for a winning bet this weekend.
When looking at the total goals in this match, the Over 2.5 goals at 2.00 seems interesting but with Newcastle defending well at home this year and Chelsea’s usual resolute approach to away games, it would be no shock if the game ended with less than three goals.
Ultimately, Chelsea should win this game but it could be quite a hard fought victory and so backing Under 2.5 Goals at 1.95 makes strong appeal this weekend. Should the Chelsea -1 price creep over 2.00, then it would also be hard to ignore as a 2-0 win for the Blues would be typical of the league leaders in a match up like this.