Parma v AC Milan – Ennio Tardini Stadium at 15:00 GMT

Milan boss Stefano Pioli maintained that the Rossoneri “could have won” their 1-1 draw with Napoli last weekend, telling reporters post-match that he “liked their performances recently” and that his side “only narrowly missed out on the result” at San Siro. Jack Bonventura cancelled out a Hirving Lozano on the field.

The result ended a spell of back-to-back defeats for Milan but the Rossoneri failed to follow their promising performance at Juventus with a more convincing display. Krzysztof Piatek missed a couple of presentable opportunities before being jeered off and Pioli is now coming under increasing pressure.

The former Fiorentina head coach replaced Marco Giampaolo in early October but has only managed a solitary success in six Serie A showdowns (W1-D2-L3) – against struggling Spal. Milan’s efforts across the 2019/20 campaign have largely underwhelmed and the underlying numbers also point towards mediocrity.  

Milan too short to support

The Rossoneri are returning negative supremacy figures for both Expected Goals (xG) ratio, as well as xG from open play yet are still being priced up by reputation. The visitors boast just a 36% win ratio on the road in Italy since the start of last season but are no bigger than 2.15 to triumph at Parma on Sunday.

At 2.15, the odds are implying that Milan have a 47% chance of succeeding at the Ennio Tardini Stadium this weekend and that’s not a bus I’m capable of boarding. In fact, the Rossoneri are so short in the pre-match markets we just have to find a way of opposing them here and Parma +0.50 appeals at far kinder 1.78 quotes.

Parma can pick up positive result

Boss Roberto D’Aversa complained not enough people in Italy were talking about Parma, despite them “sitting in eighth in the table and without important players” ahead of their trip to Emilia-Romagna rivals Bologna last weekend. The Gialloblu went on to earn a creditable 2-2 draw that could easily have been more.

The influential and in-demand Dejan Kulusevski scored a great goal and hit the woodwork for Parma but Bologna grabbed a share of the spoils with the last kick of the game, leaving head coach D’Aversa to say, “I think in terms of scoring chances, had we have won today we wouldn’t have stolen anything.” 

The Gialloblu arrived at the Bologna clash without any senior strikers and major doubts still surround the availability of Andreas Cornelius, Roberto Inglese, Gervinho and Yann Karamoh for Sunday. Nevertheless, Parma have displayed enough grit, attitude and application to suggest they won’t be overawed.

Juventus were fortunate to take top honours here on the opening weekend, Roma have already been beaten at the Tardini this term, whilst Parma have also held Inter at the San Siro. They should be well capable of keeping Milan in-check.

Asian Handicap Bettin Recommendation: Parma +0.50 at 1.780

Preview by: @MarkOHaire.

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