Norway v Faroe Islands – Ullevaal Stadion at 17:00 GMT Live at Sky Sports
Group F of Euro 2020 qualifying is delicately balanced as we reach the final furlong. Top seeds Spain have already sealed their place in next summer’s tournament with a point separating Sweden and Romania in the race for second spot with only two fixtures to play.
Norway remain in contention despite sitting four points adrift of second spot. The Lions are sure of a play-off place but know victory on Friday night against neighbours Faroe Islands – coupled by a draw in the high-stakes Romania v Sweden showdown – will leave the qualification draw very much open.
Lars Lagerback’s outfit sealed a 2-0 triumph in Torshavn as recently as June and should be confident of repeating the feat again when locking horns in Oslo. Unsurprisingly, Norway are rated strong pre-match favourites here although the Lions will need to shake-off a feeling of draw-itus to keep those hopes alive.
Hosts could pick up top honours
The Nordic nation have only reached only one previous European Championship (2000) and progress to 2020 has been stalled by five stalemates in eight outings. However, the hosts were able to put rock-bottom Malta away 2-0 in the capital, ensuring both group victories came against the pool’s outsiders.
Norway held Spain, Romania and Sweden in Oslo and the Lions are now unbeaten in their last 14 fixtures (W9-D5-L0) on home soil. Lagerback’s troops have silenced their opponents in six of their last nine competitive contests at the Ullevaal Stadion and a similar scenario appears the most likely on Friday.
The Faroe Islands have collected a solitary success in their quest to reach Euro 2020. The minnows overcame Malta last month, ending a run of seven straight losses; now the North Atlantic outfit take to their travels again, seeking a first win outside of Torshavn since 2016. (W0-D2-L8).
Oppose a high-scoring game
But there’s little value in supporting a clear and convincing Norwegian triumph. Instead, it may pay to oppose a high-scoring game with Under 3.5 Goals a 1.77 chance. With the hosts’ impressive clean sheet record here, coupled with Norway’s return of notching more than two goals just twice in 16 encounters, there’s certainly scope for keeping a relatively tight tussle onside.
Only two of Norway’s last 15 matches have crossed the Over 3.5 Goals line. And despite dining on European football’s bottom table, the Faroes have followed suit by seeing only four of their most recent 13 outings feature four or more goals, two of which came against former World and European champions Spain.
Asian Total Goals Betting Recommendation: Under 3.50 goals at 1.770
Preview by: @MarkOHaire.