May 16, 2017

NBA Handicap Betting Preview – Tuesday 16th May by @DavAulak

San Antonio Spurs @ Golden State Warriors Game 2 Pick

The big story out of Game 1 will have been the injury suffered by Kahwi Leonard which makes his status for the entire series questionable. That remained the big headline even though the San Antonio Spurs blew a huge lead in the second half where they should have been leading this series 1-0 and having already stolen home advantage away.

The collapse came at the same time Leonard left the game and it is the reason the spread has moved three more points in favour of the Warriors from Game 1. The absence of Leonard is going to be big, but I wouldn’t rule out the San Antonio Spurs making this a competitive game as they have already beaten the Houston Rockets on the road without their superstar player.

There have also been accusations of unfair methods used by the Warriors to target the already sore ankle Leonard had been playing on. Some have suggested Gregg Popovich is using the issue to hide the manner in which San Antonio collapsed and to get a reaction from his players, but ultimately it was an all-time epic collapse in Game 1.

It was so bad that you wonder if it could have a lingering effect on Game 2 which takes place just two days after Game 1. Manu Ginobili was suggesting the same thing and it is key for the Spurs to come out fast if they are not going to let the Golden State Warriors pick up from where they left off.

Picking a winner on the spread is not easy and I think my focus is on the total points line and looking for these two teams to surpass the number. The ‘over’ has some strong trends in recent San Antonio and Golden State games, while the ‘over’ is 4-2 in the last six in the series between these two.

The ‘over’ has also been successful in the last three in Golden State between these rivals and I can see the teams producing another high-scoring game.

Handicap Betting Recommendation: Golden State-San Antonio Over 208.5 Total Points at 1.97

Prices correct at the time of writing.

By @DavAulak

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