Philadelphia Union v Real Salt Lake
Philly have hit the rails a bit in recent weeks, only winning 1 of their last 5 games. Last week they suffered a disappointing reverse at Montreal, losing 5-1 and succumbing to the likes of Didier Drogba. This wasn’t a massive surprise because The Union had played extra time in a cup match just a few days before. They’ll be relieved to be back at home where they have a pretty good record this season, only losing one match and winning 7 out of 11. Philly have been a pleasant surprise and their attack force has been much better than expected. No team has scored more home goals than Philly this season (25) and their more attacking tactics have paid off.
RSL have also hit the rails in recent weeks, failing to win any of their last 6 matches. They still sit inside the playoff places in the Western conference but other sides are starting to catch them up. The big surprise is that most of their recent games have been at home, where they’re usually so strong. It seems a lot of the opposition have employed some good stifling tactics against them. Maybe it’ll be a relief to be on the road again, especially facing a non conference opponent when the pressure isn’t quite as high. For most of the year their attacking trio of Movsisyan, Plata and Martinez have worked well together. In recent weeks none of them have really caught fire but the potential is there.
Philly will probably win this match. They’ve been great at home all season and RSL’s recent form has been poor. But @ 1.90 I can easily pass on the hosts and take what looks to be a more attractive bet. Over 2.75 is what I fancy and this should be an open contest. Philly have been involved in so many high scoring affairs this year which have become high energy, fast pace shootouts. They seem to suck opponents into this style of game. It’s worth noting that the last 6 Real Salt Lake matches have all ended under 2.5. But most of those have contained at last two goals and I feel like they are a naturally attack minded side. Too many opponents have come to park the bus against them at their own stadium at altitude. In this contest there should be more opportunities for them on the break and there should be plenty of chances at both ends.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Over 2.75 goals at 2.05
Orlando City v New England Revolution
The Florida outfit have only won 1 of their last 9 games and now find themselves out of the playoff places in the Eastern Conference. Orlando have been through some turbulent times with the sacking of long standing coach Adrian Heath affecting them badly. A new coach Jason Kreis is now in place though and the team did well to pick up consecutive 2-2 draw draws at Vancouver & Columbus. The more positive free flowing nature of Orlando was in operation and the players seemed more settled. This will be Kreis’ first match in charge and the first time in a while that Orlando have a home fixture. No team has managed to beat them in Florida this season, but a whopping 7/10 games have ended a draw. Orlando have the highest number of overall draws in MLS with 11 out of 20!
After a poor run of three straight defeats, New England have hit back by obtaining seven points from their most recent fixtures. They didn’t play particularly well against Chicago Fire last week, but still managed to eek out a 1-0 win thanks to a late goal. The Revolution haven’t had a great season but are back inside the playoff places. Their attack force is more dangerous since they acquired Kei Kamara from Columbus Crew in a midseason trade. The Revs have only won once away from home which was a fluky 2-1 success at Vancouver. In general they don’t play as well on the road, and the clean sheet they obtained at RSL in their previous away fixture was a pretty rare occurrence.
This looks set to be a high scoring contest. Most Orlando home matches contain a lot of goals. They are naturally an attack minded side and the atmosphere here in Orlando definitely breeds positive football. Yes, New England have quietened down a little bit recently but so many teams get sucked into a shootout at this stadium. My personal opinion is that the Revs are naturally attack minded anyway and will relish a contest like this. Orlando welcome back Kaka who’s been injured recently, missing quite a few games. He got some minutes under his belt in the recent MLS All Stars game though and that should do him some good. I honestly expected the goal line to be about 3.0 here, but instead a juicy price on over 2.75 is available. I have no hesitation here and there should be at least three goals, with a good probability of more.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation; Over 2.75 goals at 1.95
Prices correct at time of writing.
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