Everton v Leicester City – Goodison Park at 16:00 live on Sky Sports 1
My final Asian Handicap preview of the weekend is back in the Premier League for Everton v Leicester City.
Ronald Koeman’s team are pushing the big teams hard for a European qualifying place this season.
Meanwhile, Leicester City are undergoing a dramatic turnover after replacing their title winning manager of last season, with Craig Shakespeare.
Everton were denied all three points at Old Trafford last time out, after Zlatan Ibrahimovic score an injury time penalty for Manchester United.
However, they remain just three points behind 5th placed Arsenal and can still qualify for next seasons UEFA Europa League.
The Toffee’s hold an enviable home record of P15 W10 D4 L1 with GF34 GA10 and that makes them the fourth best home team this season.
Against similar mid-table sides to Leicester, they have been excellent with five wins out of five home games.
This weekend they face a rejuvenated Leicester team that has won five Premier League games in a row.
Plus, they will have to play without two key defenders after Ashley Williams was sent off against Manchester United and Seamus Coleman has a long term injury.
Other absentees include new signing Morgan Schneiderlin, Yannick Bolaise and Ramiro Funes Mori.
Koeman had turned to Everton’s youth academy to cover his injured first team players, but can they continue their strong form during the toughest and most important time of the season?
Five straight league wins and progression into the Champions League Quarter Finals, at the expense of Sevilla, since sacking Claudio Ranieri and replacing him with Shakespeare is a truly remarkable change of fortunes for the Foxes.
I am not sure if it speaks more to the strength and cold heartedness of player power or the impact of the new manager’s qualities, but something good has happened at the King Power since the switch was made.
But, four of the five league wins came in front of their own fans and with the sole away victory claimed at a woefully out of form West Ham. We are yet to see Shakespeare’s Foxes tested on the road by a good team.
Plus, their away record this season could not be much worse, it reads a shocking P14 W1 D3 L10. With just 11 goals scored and 29 conceded, it will take a serious improvement to win at Goodison Park.
If they can translate their recent goal scoring form, 13 in their 5 game win streak, then they will cause Everton problems.
The only key player missing this weekend is central defender Wes Morgan, which is not what you need when visiting the free scoring Toffee’s.
Asian Handicap Prices and Data…
Everton are odds on favourites to win this one and can be backed at 1.97 on the -0.75 Asian Handicap line.
In terms of the Asian Total Goals market, the line is current set at 2.75 with Overs priced at 2.03. Meanwhile, you can back Under 2.75 goals at 1.92 with Eastbridge.
I do think that the hosts will have too much for Leicester this weekend, but there is no real value in their price.
Plus, although they are performing above their average level at home this season, recent history shows that they win just 55% of games in this range.
The bet I like the look of this weekend is Everton to score Over 1.5 goals at 1.79 because they average 2.27 goals per game at home this season.
Historically in this range their average is 2 goals per game and Leicester City concede an average of 2.31 goals per game away in this range.
Finally, Leicester have conceded two or more in 10 of 14 road games, while Everton have scored 2 or more in 9 of 15 at Goodison Park.
Asian Handicap Recommendation: Everton Over 1.5 Goals at 1.79
Prices correct at time of writing.
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