Bodø/Glimt v Vålerenga
Bodø/Glimt dropped a couple of points on Monday night when they drew 1-1 at Sarpsborg. It was nearly even worse for them but a late Ulrich Saltnes header managed to prevent defeat. As a result they are now level on points with Molde at the top of the table heading into this round and five clear of Odd. The next two rounds bring about two key fixtures. Molde host Odd on Sunday and then next Friday Bodø/Glimt travel to Odd. The result of those games could be crucial in this title race. in between that, Glimt have a job to do against Vålerenga this Monday evening. In the previous meeting this season VIF hammered them 6-0 in Oslo, so will be out for revenge. Things may well be different at Aspmyra Stadion where the northern outfit have an excellent 7-1-1 record, scoring 23 goals which is more than any other team in front of their own fans this season.
The aforementioned 6-0 drubbing in the reverse fixture must now feel a long time ago for Vålerenga, even though it was only on 5th July. Ronny Deila’s men have been stinking the place out since the resumption of the league after the summer break, failing to win any of their last four games. Perhaps the biggest concern during this period is the opposition faced. VIF couldn’t beat the likes of Kristiansund, Godset, Stabaek or Haugesund. Their next two games are vs Glimt & Rosenborg so it doesn’t bode very well that they are in such poor form. Quite what has been going wrong I’m not entirely sure. The loss of key playmaker Chidi Ejuke to Heerenveen might well be the most important factor though and the lack of his ‘X-Factor’ has been noticeable. However, there’s no excuse not to have kept at least one clean sheet against the recent opposition mentioned.
Bundesliga Match Preview: Augsburg v Union Berlin.
Ronny Deila is under some pressure and it’s quite right that some big questions have been asked of him following the defeat to Haugesund last week (1-2). They travel here as quite a strong underdog which might actually suit them. Bodø/Glimt are a-0.50 Asian Handicap favourite around the 1.90 mark and that just shows the shift in dynamic between the two teams. The fact that Glimt are odd-on to beat VIF is a fair price, though in my opinion. The hosts have been in great form all season and are spearheaded by the excellent duo out wide Hakon Evjen & Amor Layouni. I am predicting a Bodø/Glimt victory but a safer bet is probably over 3 goals. Glimt had a rare under last week but 12/18 of their matches this season have contained at least 3 goals. They should be able to get some sort of revenge for their battering early in the season and the Vålerenga defence simply looks way too vulnerable at the moment. All things look set for quite an open game of football containing plenty of chances. I’d say something like a 3-1 home win is a likely sort of outcome in this one.
Asian Total Goals Betting Recommendation: Over 3.00 goals at 1.840
Strømsgodset v Sarpsborg
Here we have a basement battle between the bottom two teams in the Eliteserien. Strømsgodset and Sarpsborg have just five wins between them all season and both desperately need 3 points. For the home team, their excellent victory 3-2 vs Valerenga was kind of wiped out by suffering such a poor 4-0 loss at Viking last week. I don’t think Godset were ‘that’ bad in Stavanger but it was disappointing that they didn’t kick on. It felt like they had a good chance of building some momentum but all might now be lost after losing so badly. SIF have added a number of players during the transfer window with Moses Mawa standing out as a potentially good option upfront. At the back Duplexe Tchamba and Prosper Mendy have shown glimpses of potential. When so many new players come into a club though it’s natural to expect a bedding in period and the team needs time to gel.
Speaking of transfers, a recent one has taken place between these two teams. Mos has moved to Sarpsborg whilst Lars Jorgen Salvesen gone in the other direction to Godset. This is actually a sensible striker switch for both clubs. Mos has never really caught fire here at SIF and is probably better suited to Sarpsborg’s style of play. Meanwhile, Salvesen offers a bit of much needed muscle upfront for Godset and could prove to be a useful bench option, or even start a few times. The visitors have put in a couple of recent credible draws at home to RBK and Glimt (1-1) but it’s been a while since they won a game of football. Geir Bakke’s men have also struggled away from home where they remain winless in 2019. The defeat to Viking last Wednesday was particularly disappointing because they were in a favourable position pre match.
This is a relegation ‘6 pointer’ in which both teams should fancy their chances. Sarpsborg are actually an away favourite on a -0.25 Asian Handicap. At some stage they will come good this season but we have been waiting a long time for that to happen now and I don’t consider them trustworthy at the moment. The bet I like is over 2.5 goals. I have long had a theory that battles between two poorly placed sides at this stage of the season can often lead to high scoring games. There is less fear and each team sees this as a big opportunity to win. Nobody is interested in a draw and there is no reason to play defensive or negative football. I’m not sure who is going to win but I certainly fancy goals at Marienlyst Stadion this weekend.
Asian Total Goals Betting Recommendation: Over 2.50 goals at 2.050
Preview by: @meatmansoccer.
Access these prices of Steve Wyss’ selections for Strømsgodset v Sarpsborg and Bodø/Glimt v Vålerenga through VOdds now.