Dijon v Angers – Stade Gaston Gérard at 20:00
Over the past 15 seasons, the final round of action in Ligue 1 has produced an average of 2.90 goals-per-game with 57% of those fixtures featuring Over 2.5 Goals, an impressive 15% increase compared to the rest of the campaign. And Saturday evening’s encounter from the Stade Gaston Gerard should follow suit.
Dijon takes on Angers with both clubs marooned happily in mid-table after reasonably successful seasons. Understandably, with safety assured, the duo have seen their results tail off towards the conclusion of the campaign as they’ve managed just five victories across their combined last 20 games.
Nevertheless, goals have been a regular occurrence for the pair, so much so that a punt on Over 2.75 Goals should have plenty of legs on Saturday evening.
Dijon’s best ever season
Dijon is set for their best-ever Ligue 1 season regardless of more recent results and showed they’re still willing to work in last weekend’s 2-1 reverse at Lille. Korean star Chang-hoon Kwon put the Mustards ahead early on, and even though Lille scored twice before the break, Olivier Dall’Oglio’s outfit gave as good as they got after the interval.
Indeed, Dijon came close to pooping Lille’s survival party when both Cedric Yambere and Julio Tavrares fluffed three late opportunities for the visitors. Even so, the majority of their excellent efforts in 2017/18 have arrived on home soil and a return to the Stade Gaston Gerard should stand them in good stead.
The hosts have W11-D3-L1 when welcoming Ligue 1 sides outside of the top-four and their forward-thinking approach has led to many goal-filled games. Dijon’s past four outings have produced 18 goals and at home, they’ve seen three or more goals scored in 12 of their 18 encounters.
In contrast, Angers fell to a meek 2-0 defeat to Nantes in their final home game of the season last time out. Having been dominated before the interval, Stephane Moulin’s men fell behind to a free-kick before succumbing to a second at the Stade Raymond Kopa. They’ll be looking to finish on a high.
Goals on the agenda
As already alluded to, goals tend to be on the agenda when Dijon are involved. The hosts have scored in each of their last 11 matches with both sides scoring in nine of their past 10 tussles, including each of their most recent four at the Stade Gaston Gerard.
Angers has also gotten on the scoresheet in eight of their previous 11 Ligue 1 outings with both teams notching in four of their last six. The visitors have delivered Over 2.5 Goals profit in nine of their past 12 at middle-third teams, with Dijon also crossing the Over 2.5 Goals barrier in their last eight when welcoming the same stand of opposition.
Asian Total Goals Betting Recommendation: Over 2.75 Goals at 1.720