May 11, 2015

Arsenal v Swansea Asian Handicap Preview – Monday 11th May

Arsenal v Swansea – Emirates Stadium at 20:00 live on Sky Sports 1

Monday’s live Premier league match comes from the Emirates Stadium as 3rd place Arsenal take on Swansea who sit in 8th. The Swans are looking to do the double over the Gunners, already defeating them 2-1 back in November at the Liberty Stadium and are 11.9 to win tonight. Arsenal are as short as 1.29 but there is still some value to be had on the Asian Handicap betting market.

With just a couple of games to go until the end of the season, this match still holds some significance for both sides. Arsenal were secured a top 4 finish after Liverpool’s draw with Chelsea yesterday but the Gunners will want to avoid the preliminary stages of the Champions League and finish in the top 3. With 2 games in hand over City and Utd, two wins from their last 4 matches will ensure 3rd place or better and Wenger will expect to get the first win this evening.

Swansea still have an outside chance of qualifying for the Europa League due to the poor form of Southampton and Tottenham. A win tonight will put them a point behind the Saints and 2 behind Spurs with 2 matches to play. If they were to pick up an unlikely 3 points at the Emirates, you wouldn’t want to bet against them finishing in the top 7.

Many thought the Swans were going to struggle in Gary Monk’s first full season in charge but have exceeded all expectation and have already earned a club-record points total in a a single Premier League season, I can’t see them adding to that tonight though.

Arsenal are in sensational form, winning 9 of their last 10 league matches with just one draw against a defensive Chelsea. It was a different story when the two sides met in November however, with even the most loyal Arsenal fans questioning their manager and some even calling for his resignation.

The loss to Swansea was followed by a defeat at the hands of Utd which left Arsenal on just 17 points from their first 12 games, the worst start to a Premier League season in 20 years for the Gunners. Now fans and the media are talking of a serious title challenge next season which is not unthinkable when you consider their form since the turn of the year.

Arsenal and Swansea’s BPL head to head record is 3 wins a piece and 1 draw, Arsenal have W1 D1 L1 at the Emirates. The North Londoners have only lost once at home all season and won 9 of their last 10 in front of their own fans. Their last match at home, against Chelsea, was the first time they have failed to score at home in the league this season but have scored 21 in their last 10.

75% of league matches at the Emirates have had 3 or more goals and I expect the same again tonight and I like the 2.08 on offer for Over 3 goals on the Asian line. My official recommendation is with Arsenal to cover their Asian Handicap line  of -1.5 though and move closer to the 2nd place finish Wenger called a couple of months ago.

Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Arsenal -1.5 @ 1.91

Prices correct at time of writing.

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