Malmo v Hammarby

Malmo will come up against Hammarby in what should be an exciting game, which hopefully should be filled with goals. Malmo’s last game ended in a 1-0 win against Sirius. Malmo had plenty shot s on goal in the game but could only manage to convert 1. Hammarby had a great 3-1 win over Eskilstuna in a game they dominated possession and in the score line.

I would like to get few more games under the belt so we can judge how the teams are doing so until then we have to work with what we have for the moment until the season progresses and we can rely more on data-based picks.

Malmo have averaged 1.90 goals per 90 minutes in the last calendar year in the Allsvenskan and have averaged 1.33 goals per 90 minutes so far this season including pre-season. That being said Malmo are leading the xG table so far with 9.29 expected goals, this would indicate they should be scoring more than they have and hopefully they flourish against Hammarby. Hammarby have averaged 1.74 goals per 90 minutes in the last calendar year and have averaged 1.63 goals per 90 minutes so far this season. Like Malmo, Hammarby have a good xG score so far this season sitting fourth in the xG league table with expected goals of 6.59.

The goal line for this game is set at 2.75 and I think it’s been set at the line for the potential we have for goals here, both teams are attacking teams and have been unlucky not to score more this season the books are expecting goals. The price for over 2.5 goals is at 1.76 currently indicating a 56.81% chance of overs landing. I’m not quite cautious with goal lines when they teams aren’t in red hot scoring form but given the xG scores I think both teams are perhaps underperforming of late and due a few goals. I’m happy to take on the over 2.5 goal line in this game for certain.

Malmo are firm favourites to land the three points, priced at 1.62 with Hammarby priced at 6.11 and the draw is priced around 4.25. Both teams will be looking to take the three points on Wednesday and I think we should be in for a what could be one of the highest scoring games of season so far.

Asian Total Goals Betting RecommendationOver 2.50 goals at 1.760

Djurgarden v Norrkoping

Djurgarden will play Norrkoping in their next home game and will be looking to land another three points to keep at the top of the table. Djurgarden are unbeaten so far this season and won last time out away to Hacken beating them 1-0. Norrkoping come into this game on the back of a 4-3 win against Falkenbergs showing they can hit the net.

I would like to get few more games under the belt so we can judge how the teams are doing so until then we have to work with what we have for the moment until the season progresses and we can rely more on data-based picks.

Djurgarden have averaged 2 goals per 90 mins so far in 2019 in the Allsvenskan & Norrkoping have averaged 1.75 goals per 90 mins so in 2019. Norrkopings averaged goals could have been higher but they failed to score against AIK which isn’t a bad game considering they were champions last year.

The goal line is set at 2.50 for this game and I think it may have been underestimated, with Norrkoping normally playing a 3-5-2 and Djurgarden normally play a 4-3-3 there is potential for Norrkoping to overload the midfield and exploit space on the wings. Similarly, this would play into the hands of Djurgarden should they choose to leave two of the wider three upfront on the halfway line given them the opportunity and get in behind the wing backs and potentially have a 3 on 3 situation. The game certainly is setup for goals if the teams can play to their strengths.

The price for over 2.5 goals is at 1.90 currently indicating a 52.63% chance of overs landing, given the above im happy with the angle and hopefully we can cash in on an attacking game. Djurgarden are favourites, priced at 2.17 with Norrkoping priced at 3.43 and the draw is priced around 3.65.

Asian Total Goals Betting RecommendationOver 2.50 goals at 1.900

Kalmar v Goteborg

Kalmar come up against Goteborg in their next home game following on from an away win against Sundsvall, a game they won 2-1. Goteborg come into the game with mixed form, LWLW. Goteborg won their last game against Helsingborg 3-1 and not failed to score to any games so far this season.

I would like to get few more games under the belt so we can judge how the teams are doing so until then we have to work with what we have for the moment until the season progresses and we can rely more on data-based picks.

Kalmar so far this season have yet to keep a clean sheet in four games in the Allsvenskan, conceding 5 goals in 4 games. They have managed to score in all but one game however scoring 5 in 4 games. Goteborg have been better so far this season, scoring in all of their games in the league totalling 8 goals in 4 games and only conceding 4 goals. Games like this are great when your looking to back the goals line both teams patchy form but they can both score and concede.

Now the goal line is set at 2.25 which is fantastic for us considering Kalmar are averaging 1.25 goals so far and Goteborg are averaging 2 goals so far this season. The price for over 2.25 goals is currently 1.94 indicating a 51.54% chance of this line landing. Based upon form so far this season, I love this line and more than happy with the angle.

Kalmar are firm favourites which is slightly surprising priced at 2.13, with Goteborg priced at 3.88 and the draw is priced around 3.30. I think both teams will be out to win and should open up chances for both teams to score in a end to end game.

Asian Total Goals Betting Recommendation: Over 2.25 goals at 1.940

Preview by: @JM5portsAnalyst.

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