Fiorentina v Sassuolo – Stadio Artemio Franchi at 14:00
Fiorentina’s eighth-place finish last term was their worst since 2011/12 and as a result, Stefano Pioli was brought in to replace Paulo Sousa in the coaching hot-seat. La Viola were strong operators at their Stadio Artemio Franchi base but the club was in a state of flux.
Pioli’s job was made doubly difficult following a poor summer in the transfer window. Home starlet Federico Bernardeschi joined Juventus and Matias Vecino left for Inter Milan whilst club icons Gonzalo Rodriguez and Borja Valero also moved on to pastures new amongst a whole host of other departures.
Frustrated fans protested against the ownership with the moneymen eventually agreeing to put the club up for sale. Such instability off the field and an almost brand new XI has led to many inconsistent displays from La Viola.
The Florence-based club has failed to collect maximum points in their last four fixtures, the last of which was a 1-1 draw at high-flying Lazio and so commands credit. And at the Artemio Franchi, Fiorentina have W3-D1-L2 this term – both defeats arriving against the top-six opposition.
Sassuolo’s managerial change
So it’s understandable to see La Viola chalked up at such short prices to see off Sassuolo on Sunday. The visitors axed Cristian Bucchi following a home defeat to 10-man Verona last time out, a result that leaves the Neroverdi with only 11 points from 14 fixtures thus far.
The visitors pitch up on the back of four losses in their last five and have claimed only three triumphs all season, with the two most recent of these victories coming against bottom-three sides SPAL and rock-bottom Benevento.
Bucchi will be replaced by Beppe Iachini, whose previous employment with Udinese lasted just a handful of matches. To presume he’ll have the ability to turn Sassuolo’s form and confidence around so soon looks unlikely and therefore following the recent trends looks our best angle of attack here.
The betting angle
Both teams have scored in nine of Fiorentina’s past 10 encounters at the Artemio Franchi whilst 16/25 (64%) of such fixtures going back to the start of last season featured three goals or more, 7/25 (28%) producing Over 3.5 Goals profit.
Considering Sassuolo have only failed to score twice in 26 on their travels since the start of the last term, with 18/26 (69%) breaking the Over 2.5 Goals barrier and 10/26 (38%) featuring four or more goals, backing Over 2.75 Goals at 1.82 appeals.
Backing this bet means if there are three goals exactly we’ll make a half-stakes profit with four or more goals seeing a full-stakes return.
Asian Total Goals Betting Recommendation – Over 2.75 goals at 1.820