Bodo Glimt v Aalesund
The Northern outfit obtained a massive victory on Monday away against bitter rivals Tromso. An excellent second half propelled by winger Milan Jevtovic paved the way for a 2-1 win, their first since early March. Those three points give them a bit of breathing space above the relegation zone. Bodo are a side renowned for their counter attacking strength. In recent weeks they seemed to have lost this dangerous ability and confidence evaporated. But on Monday it was much more noticeable how fluid they looked in transition. The attacking trio of Jevtovic, Azemi & Olsen are all a real handful when in form.
It just seems to me like there’s plenty of ‘trouble at mill’ within Aalesund right now. Seven defeats in eleven games mean they are languishing inside the bottom three. Everyone presumed they’d easily beat Start on Monday but instead the opposite very nearly happened! Only a late equaliser rescued a point else they’d have been on the wrong end of a shock defeat. And Aalesund probably deserved defeat in that game too, in the second half they were clearly second best. It’s hard to pinpoint exactly what’s going wrong. Maybe the coach is to blame playing too many guys out of their natural positions, but it’s obvious something isn’t right.
For this game, two bets stand out to me. The first is to take Bodo on a -0.25 handicap. I just think their win on Monday will reignite their confidence and allow the team to find extra belief. The performance was quite impressive and I believe they can kick on from that win. It was extremely worrying how poor Aalesund were against Start, who are the worst side in the league. I also like over 2.75 goals. The last four Aalesund away games have all ended under, but I’m not actually sure how. Many of their encounters are end to end and contain plenty of chances. Lack of recent Aalesund goals is a concern but Bodo are capable of netting plenty if their attackers pick up where they left off on Monday. So in this instance I favour two bets and hopefully the match ends up as a high scoring home win.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendations: Bodo Glimt -0.25 at 1.80 & Over 2.75 goals at 1.84
Haugesund v Rosenborg
The hosts continue to be one of the big surprise packages of the season. Another victory on Monday away at Valerenga (1-0) maintained their fifth position and this is a team clearly heading in the right direction. Mark Dempsey has got the team playing well in his unusual 3-5-2 formation. FKH can be a real handful in all areas of the field, especially going forwards where they have proven their goalscoring ability on many occasions. They’ve managed to net in all of their last seven games and in many of those fixtures done it on multiple occasions. This of course will be one of their toughest tests but Dempsey has spoken about playing ‘no fear football’ so I don’t expect them to be fazed much.
The defending champions already have a five point lead and they are crucially seven clear of key rivals Molde. It looks like they’ll take some stopping this season and 9 wins in 11 games demonstrates their strength. I have personally seen signs of weakness on the road with Rosenborg recently though. Tromso pushed them hard before ultimately prevailing 2-1. They were second best at Sogndal before facing 10 men and eventually equalising. Even at Start in their previous away match the performance was disappointing. RBK needed two late goals to take victory there but on another day they might easily have dropped points. Obviously Rosenborg aren’t the champions for nothing though and they’ll find ways to grind out results better than all other teams, even when playing poorly. Key man Pal Andre Helland has been injured recently. He could return here and that would be a massive boost, they look like a different side going forwards when he’s present.
I sense a shock here. I think there have been enough warning signs with Rosenborg away from home and they could come unstuck. Haugesund are playing with confidence, are under no pressure and I believe they’ll cause all sorts of issues to the champions. I certainly wouldn’t want to put off anyone considering Haugesund either +0.75 or +1 on the asian handicap. But there’s sometimes a gung ho attitude about them. If Rosenborg led by one goal with not long left FKH would probably push everyone forward including the keeper. I think over 2.75 goals is a better bet. So many Haugesund matches end over, the majority containing a huge number of goals. Everyone knows RBK have plenty of goals in them and this looks set to be the sort of fixture which really kicks off. Last season this match ended 0-6 and the return 4-3, both in Rosenborg’s favour. I’ve got a feeling the hosts could get revenge in a high scorer.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Over 2.75 goals at 1.85
Prices correct at time of writing.
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