Copenhagen v Nordsjaelland & Randers v Brondby
Week 4 in the Danish Superliga sees a couple of decent opportunities for punters to get their teeth stuck into.
On Saturday, Copenhagen host Nordsjaelland in a derby where the Lions must be licking their lips eyeing up some easy prey. In 2014 Nordsjaelland battled to a 6th place out of 12 finish primarily due to their willingness to play attacking high risk football at home. They racked up 10 home wins out of 17 despite conceding the 2nd highest number of home goals, only surpassed by the hapless Silkeborg.
Away from home their leakiness at the back was only compounded by their inability to score goals. 11 goals scored in 16 games highlights how tough the Tigers found things on their travels.
Fast forward to this year and a similar trend is looking apparent. Their only away fixture of the year saw Randers brush them aside 3-0, and despite a decent 2-1 win at home against a wasteful Aalborg, they have to be opposed when hitting the road.
If that wasn’t grim enough, they have the further issue that Copenhagen are a tough nut to crack at home. An average of less than two thirds of a goal conceded per game last season, and nearly all of those were in their shaky opening to the season. Bear in mind, from 3rdNovember, to 7th of June, Copenhagen conceded 3 goals at home in the league. Yes 3 (three).
Two away wins to start the season for the Lions show they have picked up right where they left off and Nordsjaelland should pose no threat here. Take Copenhagen giving up a 1.25 goal head start at 2.05.
Sunday’s late kick off sees Randers host Brondby at AutoC Park. Brondby are reeling off the back of three straight losses which sees them planted at the foot of the table. Ex Middlesbrough/Bolton/Bradford manager Colin Todd has struggled to relive pressure with careless mistakes in 2 of their 3 games costing them dear. However the breakdown of stats from all three matches shows in all 3 losses, Brondby created chances, had possession and were value for more than 3 straight defeats.
Randers gained a reputation for a solid efficient defence in 2014, with most of their home wins coming by the odd goal. A 3-0 win on opening day of the season against likely strugglers Nordsjaelland was followed up with a 3-2 away loss to Aarhaus.
Considering Randers far superior defensive abilities at home and the pressure on Todds men with Randers likelihood to keep things tight, expect a cagey affair with a low number of goals. A goal line of 2.25 may seem low on first glance, but it’s with good reason. Both teams will look for victory through precision at the back rather than attacking flair. Go under on goals to land the cash.
Asian Handicap Betting Reccommendation: Copenhagen 1.25 at 2.05
Asian Handicap Betting Reccommendation: Brondby Under 2.25 goals at 1.96
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