Sevilla v Man City – Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan Stadium at 19:45 live on BT Sport 2
Man City go into tonight’s match with Sevilla knowing 3 points and a Juventus win over Gladbach will see them through to the knock-out stages with 2 matches to spare.
They defeated the Andalusian’s two week’s ago in Manchester 2-1, coming from a goal down and are favourites this evening. However, I think Sevilla have been underestimated and are the value bet on the Asian Handicap betting market.
Sevilla’s form this season has been inconsistent to say the least. With just 3 wins from their opening 10 league matches, they sit firmly in mid-table. Those 3 wins have come in their last 3 matches at home though and I think they are beginning to turn a corner.
Their step up to the Champions League from the Europa League started well with a 3-0 home win over Borussia Monchengladbach but lost their next 2, away to Juventus and City. Los Nervionenses European home form cannot be discounted though, winning their last 10 at the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan Stadium in the UEL.
Even in the UCL, their record reads W7 D1 L1 at home excluding qualifiers, winning 6 and drawing 1 of their last 7 Champions League group matches.
Before steaming in to Sevilla though, we have to take a look at City’s much improved UCL away record since Pellegrini took over. In 7 group matches on the road, City have Won 5, Drawn 1 and lost 1 since 2013, better than the 1 win recorded from 6 under Martinez.
Those away wins are not to be dismissed as they included defeats of Bayern Munich and Roma but at 2.60 for tonight, with the likes of Aguero and Silva out injured, it’s too short for me to get involved with.
Despite Sevilla’s inconsistent start to the season, their home form remains solid both domestically and in Europe and they rarely lose in front of their home fans. Backing them +/- 0 on the Asian Handicap betting market at 2.07 is my recommendation.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Sevilla +/- 0 (Draw No Bet) at 2.07
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