OB v Randers & Copenhagen v Sonderjyske
Two more games to feature from the Danish Superliga this weekend, and in a change from the normal scenario of few Danish goals, there are some matchups that look potentially well set to buck the trend.
OB host Randers on Sunday lunchtime, at a time when Randers are coming into the game on a very low ebb. Since returning from the winter break, Randers are still yet to register a single point and have looked woeful going forward. One of my all time favourite angles in Denmark, focusses on low goals when Randers are at home is mainly due to the trouble they find going forward but also being able to hold the ball. On the road, that possession of the ball is on average 6% less and the problems up front still exist. Randers have now scored 3 goals in 6 games, including a 0-0 draw against relegation certainties, Hobro.
OB meanwhile couldn’t have looked better. A perfect record since resuming after the winter and most notably a dominant 3-1 win against Nordsjaelland 2 weeks ago.
In terms of overall balance of class, these two squads are fairly evenly matched, but with home advantage and the strong form bias on show today, OB should be close to evens for this game, however you can back them in the Asian market (-0.25) at 2.00 to give yourself a little insurance should it be a draw. This looks the obvious choice.
The second game in Denmark on Sunday follows with a 3pm kick off, with table toppers Copenhagen hosting 3rd placed Sonderjyske.
Copenhagen have looked back to their old selves for most of the season, dominating most games and proving nigh on impossible to beat. That was until they rolled into Nordsjaelland last week. After a bright start by Copenhagen, Nordsjaelland were able weather the storm and eventually prevail 2-0.
The former champions now have to face a side with an incredible record on the road. If the league was only determined on away form, Sonderjyske would now be 4 points clear at the top of the table, and as much as I respect Copenhagen home form, to make them 1.50 favourites is definitely on the skinny side.
The most appealing angle into the game looks to be the Sonkerjyske +1.25 goals market on the Asian market. Even a 1 goal win would still bag us half a win and I see every chance of Sonderjyske getting something out of the game full stop. At odds of 1.80, it looks a safe bet.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: OB -0.25 at 2.00
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Sonderjyskee +1.25 at 1.80
Prices correct at time of writing.
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