Sevilla v Alaves – Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán at 17:30 Live at Sky Sports
Sevilla secured Europa League qualification last weekend by earning a 2-2 draw at city rivals Real Betis. Los Rojiblancos were required to better Getafe’s result in order to secure at least seventh spot, which is enough for a place in the second qualification round of Europe’s secondary club competition.
It’s a far cry from the Champions League but supporters were pleased to avoid defeat in Betis and bag a continental berth, particularly after making a wretched start at the Estadio Benito Villamarin. Sevilla fell behind inside five minutes before Wissam Ben Yedder and Simon Kjaer turned the game on its head.
However, Loren Moren denied Sevilla maximum points to ensure Betis finished above their city rivals for the first time in five years. It’s been a chaotic campaign for Los Rojiblancos and caretaker coach Joaquin Caparros was pleased with his team’s efforts as they rallied in their final few fixtures under his watch.
Goals on the agenda
Seventh is now Sevilla’s glass ceiling for the campaign but the hungry hosts are determined to finish with a flourish. Normally so reliant on home soil, the Andalusians will fancy their prospects against Alaves on Saturday evening but a better bet might be to support a goal-heavy game.
Over the past five seasons, the final round of La Liga action has averaged 3.40 goals per-game with a whopping 68% of matches featuring Over 2.5 Goals and a huge 50% of games breaking the Over 3.5 Goals barrier.
Considering seven of Sevilla’s last eight final day games have produced at least four goals, with seven seeing both sides score, there’s plenty of evidence to suggest another high-scoring contest could be on the cards. The hosts have leaked 15 goals in their last seven home ties with three of their most recent four seeing both teams notch at least twice.
Visitors Alaves have also been involved in many high-scoring shootouts of late. The resurgent outfit from Vitoria has scored three goals in both of their last two outings, while five of their eight trips to the top-half this term have featured profitable Both Teams To Score selections.
With plenty of stats and trends in our favor, a play on Over 3 Goals appeals at 1.70. Knowing there should be three goals to be plundered at the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan, we’ll see our stake returned.
Asian Total Goals Betting Recommendation: Over 3.00 Goals at 1.680
Check out our betting advice for DFB Pokal Final duel FC Bayern v Frankfurt!