Wolfsburg v Gent – Volkswagen Arena at 19:45 live on BT Sport 2
KAA Gent travel to the Volkswagen Arena tomorrow evening for the 2nd leg of their last 16 Champions League tie against Wolfsburg.
The Belgian champions have impressed me in this years competition, showing a ‘never say die’ attitude in the group stages, losing just 2 of their 6 matches, winning their last 3 to make to the knockout stage.
Wolfsburg manager Dieter Hecking would have been pleased to avoid some of the big guns but would have been weary of the challenge faced drawing an over-achieving side with nothing to lose.
Gent were 3-0 down with 10 minutes to play in the first leg, but managed to score 2 late goals to keep the tie alive. That said, with Wolfburg’s 1 goal lead, 3 away goals and home advantage, they are as short as 1.04 to make it the quarter finals.
The Buffalo’s are sitting second in the Belgian League and have a really good chance of retaining the title, however, the competition isn’t that great and the UCL is a huge step up.
Die Wolfe dominated the 1st leg and should have killed off the tie there and then. They let Gent back in the game but will not make the same mistake again tomorrow night.
The Bundesliga runners up won all 3 of their home group matches, conceding just twice and have lost just two in the league this season on home soil, to Bayern and Dortmund.
They are 1.53 to win this one which is a good price when looking at their home record and the fact Gent have conceded 12 times in their last 6 games in all competitions. You always have to be weary of backing a team that doesn’t need to win to qualify, however they are by far the better side and with home advantage, so I’m confident of a comfortable home win.
Gent have to come at Wolfsburg which could leave them even more exposed at the back so backing the hosts -1 on the Asian Handicap betting market at 1.92 is my recommendation for this one. I’m also going to recommend backing them -0.5 on the First Half Asian Handicap market at 2.08. A huge price to replicate what they did in the first leg.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Wolfsburg -0.5 First Half at 2.08 & -1 Full Time at 1.92
Prices correct at time of writing.
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