Wolfsburg v Bayer Leverkusen – Bay Arena at 17:30 live on BT Sport 2
Whilst the Bundesliga title race might be all but over before the ghosts and ghouls come out for Halloween, Saturday evening’s clash between Wolfsburg and Bayer Leverkusen should at least serve up a decent dollop of goals and entertainment to keep the German top-flight nasties away.
When these two clubs clash, high-scores tend to follow. Only one of the last 14 fixtures have failed to feature both teams scoring and those matches have accumulated a huge 59 goals – that’s an average of 4.2 goals-per-game and those showdowns date back to as recent as 2009.
Neither club is particular well followed nor liked because of their ‘plastic’ status and private funding models but even so, Bundesliga fans will be tuning in expecting another avalanche of goals and punters should certainly check out the 2.22 available on Over 3 Goals in the Asian Goals line.
Wolfsburg have delivered 15/22 (68%) of Over 2.5 Goals winners from their Volkswagen Arena games since the start of last season with 14 of those matches also seeing both teams score. Meanwhile, Leverkusen have featured in 12/22 (55%) away games that produced at least three goals across the same sample.
Immediately the likelihood for another goal-filled encounter looks to have a very strong case and it would certainly raise eyebrows should the Saturday evening kick-off not return a push at the very least.
There’s also a decent case to support Dieter Hecking’s hosts at 1.95 off a scratch 0 start on the Asian Handicap line. The Wolves were taken to the cleaners by Bayern Munich in their midweek DFB Pokal clash but that was only their third home reverse in 39. In the Bundesliga, Wolfsburg’s home record reads W20-D7-L0 since March 2014 yet we’re getting almost even-money on the hosts with the draw onside.
There’s no doubting Leverkusen’s tag as a tactically shrewd side under Roger Schmidt’s tutelage but Die Werkself have fallen to defeats in each of their last three against the Wolves and their recent five-match unbeaten spell has included plenty of concerning schoolboy defending; Roma and Stuttgart stuck seven goals past Bayer in the past fortnight alone.
The travellers have managed just two away wins in eight – at struggling Werder Bremen and Hannover – and so siding with Wolfsburg whilst having the added protection of the draw seems a sensible solution at a tidy price.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Over 3 Goals at 2.22 and Wolfsburg +/- 0 at 1.95
Prices correct at time of writing.
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