West Ham v Liverpool – Upton Park at 19:45 live on BT Sport 2
West Ham and Liverpool meet for the 4th time this season in this FA Cup 4th round replay having played out a 0-0 draw in the original tie. The Irons go into the match as 2.47 favourites and have already beaten the reds twice in the Premier League this season.
Slaven Bilic will fancy his chances of making it to the 5th round after bringing the tie back to Upton Park, and seeing his side defeat Liverpool 3-0 and 2-0 already this term.
Since the first tie, Jurgen Klopp has watched his side lose to league leaders Leicester and throw away a 2 goal lead against Sunderland from his sick bed this weekend, to draw 2-2. The draw with the Mackems was typical of Liverpool this season and they will need to be at their best if they are to come through tomorrow’s difficult replay with West Ham who suffered only their 6th BPL defeat of the campaign against Southampton on Saturday.
West Ham are unbeaten in their last 11 matches at Upton Park and have won 4 of their last 5 on home turf, Man City holding them to a 2-2 in the other.
The Hammers played within themselves 2 weeks ago at Anfield but I’m expecting more from them tomorrow night. They are very strong in attack and well organised at the back and have kept 3 clean sheets against the Reds in their last 3 meetings. Their incisiveness on the counter attack will cause Liverpool a lot of problems.
The Reds have won just 2 of their last 9 in all competitions, against struggling Norwich and League 2 Exeter in the last round of the Cup, and they needed a replay to do that. If Klopp sticks to his selection policy for the FA Cup, which I believe he will due to the amount of matches Liverpool have played over the last 5 weeks, then I can’t see them making it to the next round.
Despite their loss at the weekend, West Ham created 18 opportunities on goal, but it just wasn’t their day. They will create plenty of chances again tomorrow and are the value bet on the Asian Handicap betting market -0.25 at 2.13 which is my recommendation for this one.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: West Ham -0.25 at 2.13
Prices correct at time of writing.
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