Wales v Georgia – Principality Stadium, Cardiff at 17:00 live on Sky Sports 1
Thursday’s Asian Handicap preview for Wales’ away trip to Austria landed us a couple of winners. Over 2 goals won out easily after the Dragon’s 2-2 draw. I’m on the other side for Sunday’s match with Georgia though. I’m expecting a hard fought battle, but the Welsh to come through and add another 3 points to their qualifying campaign.
After Wales’ heroics at the Euro’s this Summer, expectation is high for Chris Coleman’s side. After failing to qualify for a major finals for over 50 years, they made it to the semi finals in France.
Victories over Slovakia, Russia, Northern Ireland and Belgium won them many admirers. Their solid defence and pace in attack makes them an exciting and deadly opponent for even the worlds best nations.
Performances and results have been positive since the European Championships, kicking off their world cup qualifying campaign with a 4-0 win over Moldova. They followed that up with a well deserved 2-2 draw in Vienna last Thursday. Coleman would have taken a point before the game, which is arguably their toughest fixture in Group D.
They may have conceded twice against Austria, but that is not a cause for concern. In Euro qualifying they conceded just 4 times in 10 matches and a clean sheet looks on the cards here.
Wales will be without Aaron Ramsey and Joe Allen for this one due to injury. They still have plenty to overcome Georgia, but it will make it tougher.
The Georgians proved they are no pushovers last Thursday when they visited Dublin to face Ireland.
Georgia lost the match 1-0 but enjoyed 55% of possession and created more chances that their hosts. They were unable to find the breakthrough, which cost them. Against a stronger Welsh defence, I don’t expect them to find the back of the net once again.
The Crusaders now have just 1 win in their last 10 outings. You have to go back to September last year to find their last competitive victory, a 1-0 win over Scotland.
They finished Euro 2016 qualifying with a respectable 9 points, however, 6 of those were earned against Gibraltar.
The best you feel they can hope for in this campaign, will be to avoid bottom spot and finish above Moldova, which I expect them to do. They will have to wait to pick up their first points though as I can’t see past a Welsh victory tomorrow evening.
Asian Handicap & Total Goals
This won’t be a walk in the park for Wales, especially without Ramsey and Allen. The Asian Handicap line is -1.5 but with the Dragons priced at 1.91, I can’t back this with any confidence.
Although I expect Wales to win this one to nil, quite possibly 2-0, Georgia proved against Ireland they are resilient. They will be prepared to have a go, but the Welsh back line will come out on top.
For my recommendation I’m turning to the goals market. As I don’t think the visitors will contribute, as well as making it hard for the hosts, Under 2.5 goals at 1.94 offers some value.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Under 2.5 goals at 1.94
Prices correct at time of writing,
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