Wales v Andorra – Millennium Stadium at 19:45 live on Sky Sports 1
Despite Wales’ 2-0 loss away to Bosnia at the weekend, Chris Coleman’s men booked their place in the Euro 2016 finals in France next Summer. It was the first defeat in 8 matches for the Dragons but it was quickly forgotten as other results in Group B went their way. They now face Andorra in front of their home fans and can claim top spot if they win and Belgium fail to beat Israel.
Wales can afford to relax now having reached their first ever European Championship finals and their first major tournament in over 50 years. I would imagine that finishing top of Group B won’t be that important to them but I expect them to go out and enjoy themselves and win this one comfortably as the price suggests (1.06).
Andorra are a small nation and have failed to win a match since 2004. They have only won a single competitive match in their history, back in 2006 against Macedonia, and come into this match ranked 205th in the FIFA world rankings, there are only 209 nations in the rankings.
They remain pointless in the group, scoring just 4 goals, 3 penalties and an own goal and have conceded 34. There is no chance of them spoiling the Welsh party tonight.
There is no value in backing Wales to win and I’m not tempted to back them -3 on the Asian Handicap betting market at 1.95 either. The Dragons have only managed to score 3 or more goals in one of their last 41 competitive matches and have only won by 3 or more once in 27 matches.
It’s always difficult to judge these sorts of matches where neither team has anything to play for. With Wales having already secured qualification, it will be unlikely if their big stars will play 90 minutes, if feature at all. With that in mind and based on the data above, I’m recommending to back a lack of goals.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Under 4 goals at 2.05
Prices correct at time of writing.
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