Wolfsburg v Real Madrid – Volkswagen Area at 19:45 live on BT Sport 2
Real Madrid make the trip to the Volkswagen Arena this evening to face Wolfsburg in the 1st leg of their Champions League quarter final tie.
The Spanish giants are chasing their 11th European Cup and have made the last 8 for the sixth consecutive season.
This will be Wolfsburg first quarter final, having never reached the knockout stages of this competition previously and are big outsiders to make it to the semi finals at 7.25.
Wolfsburg topped group B, above PSV and Man Utd and were given a favourable draw in the last 16, facing Belgian Champions, Gent. They won in an entertaining 3-2 win in Belgium before a solid 1-0 victory at home, making it through 4-2 on aggregate to set up this tie with Real.
Diter Hecking’s side have a good record on home soil in the Champions League, losing just one of their last 7 and that was back in 2009.
They haven’t been as strong as they were last year though when they finished 2nd in the Bundesliga, 10 points behind Bayern, with a record of W20 D9 L5.
They are currently sitting 8th in the table having already lost 10 of their 28 matches this term. With just 6 matches until the end of the season, it looks as though Die Wolfe won’t be participating in Europe next season unless they pull of a miracle and win this competition.
Real Madrid are still unbeaten in this years Champions League, winning 7 of their 8 matches, including two, 2-0 victories over Roma in the last 16. They also defeated Paris St-Germain in the group stages to finish top of group A above the French Champions, Shakhter Donetsk and Malmo.
Domestically they are currently 3rd in La Liga, 7 points behind rivals Barcelona in top spot, with 7 to play. It is unlikely they will catch the Blaugrana, but Los Blancos come in to this tie full of confidence after ending Barca’s 39 match unbeaten run at the weekend.
Cristiano Ronaldo scored the winner in a 2-1 victory at the Camp Nou and is this season’s top scorer in the UCL with 13 goals, 5 clear of the next best and 4 short of his record in 2013/14.
Real Madrid have won 8 of their last 11 road trips in the Champions League and three of their last 4 on German soil, scoring 12 times.
Los Blancos’ overall record in UCL quarter finals is won 26, lost 6 in 32 matches and they are 1.60 to take a lead back the Bernabeu which I think offers some value.
They can’t afford to under-estimate Wolfsburg and could be fatigued from a very intense performance in El Clasico on Saturday. That said, this is a massive test for Wolfsburg and one I don’t think they are up to. I’m expecting an entertaining game with goals, but for the visitors to prevail comfortably so I’m recommending them -1 on the Asian Handicap betting market at 2.02.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Real Madrid -1 at 2.02
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