Wolfsburg v Augsburg – Volkswagen Arena at 15:30 GMT+1
Wout Weghorst scored his fifth goal of the season to keep Wolfsburg’s unbeaten record intact as the Wolves held RB Leipzig 1-1 at the Red Bull Arena. Oliver Glasner’s group boast the Bundesliga’s meanest defence and the team’s three-man backline proved their worth with another resilient performance.
Pavao Pervan – continuing in goal for Wolfsburg despite Koen Casteels’ return to training – had little to do, with Leipzig – one of the league’s most fluid attacks – reduced to half chances. And despite operating off minimal possession, the Wolves were also able to create chances of their own in the final-third.
The Lower Saxony side have now W5-D6-L0 across all competitions ahead of their short trip to Gent in the Europa League on Thursday. Considering the minimal travelling disruption at-hand, Glasner’s charges should be well capable of putting in another positive performance this weekend when August arrive.
Unpredictable Augsburg can be opposed
Augsburg surprisingly held Bayern Munich to a 2-2 draw last weekend when scoring in the first and last-minute to pinch a point against the champions. Martin Schmidt’s men conceded 23 shots in the contest with the Bavarian giants generating 2.98 Expected Goals (xG), suggesting a stalemate was kind.
The Fuggerstadter have tended to produce their best work in front of their home supporters and Augsburg away record leaves a lot to be desired. The visitors have W3-D5-L13 on their travels since the start of last season, keeping two clean sheets and suffering seven defeats by a margin of two goals or more.
This term alone, Augsburg have struggled to stem the bleeding at the back. In five of their eight fixtures, Schmidt’s side have leaked at least two goals with half of their outings seeing the team ship three times or more. FCA also allow the largest xG from open play figure, as well as facing the most shots in the box.
Wolves primed for a home success
With Augsburg allowed countless opportunities, Wolfsburg should be well capable of collecting top honours at the Volkswagen Arena on Saturday afternoon. Glasner’s men can point towards top-four efforts in both xG and xG from open play ratio in 2019/20, as well as consistent home form.
The Wolves have returned W10-D7-L4 here since the beginning of last season, notching at least twice 11 times. If we examine the hosts’ record against bottom-half teams in the same sample, it reads an impressive W9-D3-L1 and so Wolfsburg deserve our support as 1.78 shots to overcome a -0.75 hurdle.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Wolfsburg -0.75 at 1.780
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