Monchengladbach v Wolsberger
Borussia Monchengladbach have been regulars in the elite European competition more regularly but they’ve dropped into the Europa League where they do have a chance to get pretty far. They’re in a group with Istanbul BB, Roma and their opponents here Wolfsberger of Austria.
In all honesty the Austrian league is a non competition with Salzburg monopolising the money and the glory. The likes of Austria Wien and Rapid Vienna haven’t done anything of note in Europe for a while and I don’t expect Wolfsberger to either.
They have had a strong start to the season but the gap between their league and the Bundesliga is a vast one.
Gladbach, now under the stewardship of ex-Salzburg gaffer Marco Rose, have had a decent enough start to the season with two wins, a draw and a defeat. Rose is a manager who impressed when in Austria and I think they’ll go for it in this competition and try emulate Frankfurt’s success last season.
With Alessandre Plea, Florian Neuhaus, Raffael, Breel Embolo and Marcus Thuram as options going forward they’ve got plenty of potential goals in them and we can back the Foals to cover a -1.25 asian handicap at 1.880 and that looks more than fair.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Borussia Monchengladbach -1.25 at 1.880
Partizan v AZ Alkmaar
In group L we have an intriguing match up between Serbian side Partizan Belgrade and Dutch outfit AZ, there’s not much to split the sides in the betting with the pair both trading at around 2.750 for the win.
Instead of entering that market I’ll once again go to the goal line and over 2.25 goals is priced up generously at 1.800 in my eyes. Whenever a Dutch side is involved it’s always worth looking at the goal line and if it’s lower than 2.5 I’m inclined to take it more often than not.
In Holland there’s more of an ethos on youth and teams tend to give their kids the freedom to express themselves going forward in order for them to develop and to avoid stifling development to maximise incoming cash on any potential player.
AZ have seen a 2-1, 4-1 and 5-1 scorelines in their last three competitive fixtures and will come into this clash with confidence after hammering Sparta Rotterdam at the weekend. Their front three of Idrissi, Stengs and Boadu have the qualities to harm many a defence. Youngster Boadu has been given the number 9 shirt and has repaid the faith shown in him by gaffer Arne Slot by scoring 3 goals in 5 domestically as well as 2 in the qualifying campaign for this tournament.
Partizan have a special youngster of their own too in Filip Stevanović. The 16 year old has been given a starting berth this season and has 4 goals to his name already after just 5 games. No doubt Europe’s elite clubs will now have an eye on the youngster. Zoran Tosic And Lazar Markovic are more memorable names and they’re strong players at that level.
The Crno-Beli will see this as a must win given they’re in a group where second place is firmly up for grabs. Manchester United are the standout team and the other side involved is Astana. It’s a cliche that Serbia is a hostile place to go but it’s a cliche because it’s true. Their fans will be bang up for this and they’ll try take physical advantage of a pretty lightweight AZ side.
Ultimately there should be goals at both ends and with the line set at 2.25 I’m happy to take the overs at 1.800, it gives us a bit more insurance than the flat over 2.5 line.
Asian Total Goals Betting Recommendation: Over 2.25 goals at 1.800
Eintracht v Arsenal
One of the games of the night takes place between two of last seasons semi-finalists as Eintracht Frankfurt welcome Arsenal to the Kommerzbank Arena.
Frankfurt lost deadly duo Luka Jovic and Sebastien Haller to Real Madrid and West Ham respectively and many are anticipating a downturn in form and that’s probably a fair assessment. Ante Rebic also departed to Milan and the Eagles have received Andre Silva as a replacement. The experienced Bas Dost has also been brought in by Adi Hütter to add firepower.
They were involved in many high scoring games last season under Hütter. The Austrian was renowned for letting his Young Boys side play with attacking freedom and employed a ‘we’ll score more than you’ philosophy which ultimately made for high scoring games.
There have been 3 or more goals in their last 4 competitive games and the likelihood of an entertaining affair only increases when you see their opponents are Arsenal.
Unai Emery will have been fuming at his players for blowing a 2-0 lead at Watford last weekend. It was typically calamitous defending for the most part, and if anything they should’ve lost having given up an expected goals figure of 3.06.
It’s an away day issue that they’ve failed to address for years now and going out spending massive money on Nicolas Pepe is not going to solve their defensive issues. David Luiz looks a snip at £8m but only if you have a solid centre half or two to play with him, Arsenal do not have that at this moment in time.
Arsenal have leaked in each of their last 4 games and all 4 of those saw three or more goals. Given the pairs defensive woes and attacking potential ill happily take the 1.900 on over 2.75 goals. It would have profited in both sides last 4 competitive fixtures, I was expecting a flat 3 line, in honesty.
Asian Total Goals Betting Recommendation: Over 2.75 goals at 1.900
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