Everton v Chelsea
Everton sacked Marco Silva on Thursday, after the Toffees were beaten 5-2 by Merseyside rivals Liverpool on Wednesday. It was a decision that needed to be made, with the club in the Premier League relegation zone after 15 games. Everton legend Duncan Ferguson will take charge of this game against Chelsea but I don’t think it will change their poor run of form.
As I mentioned, they come into this one on the back of a poor defeat to Liverpool. but they also lost their last two games before that. They have just four wins in in 15 Premier League games this season and are currently sitting 18th in the table.
There’s no doubting their quality, with the likes of Richarlison and Gylfi Sigurdsson, in particular, their star players. But they can’t see to keep clean sheets, with Michael Keane and Yerry Mina struggling to form a decent relationship at the heart of the defence. They’ve conceded 27 goals in 15 games, the fourth most in the league. Silva tinkered with his formation towards the end of his reign, switching to a three at the back, so it’ll be interesting to see what Ferguson goes with at Goodison Park on Saturday.
Chelsea ended their mini-blip on Wednesday as they beat Aston Villa 2-1 at Stamford Bridge. Before that game, Frank Lampard’s side had failed to win their previous three games. But the return of Tammy Abraham was enough for them to get all three points.
The Blues have won seven of their last nine away games, with one of the games they didn’t win being a defeat to champions Manchester City. They’re scoring goals for fun at the moment and, with Abraham back, I fancy them to win this one comfortably.
You can back them to pick up all three points here at 2.080, which I think is more than generous. Everton are in dire form at the moment and I think Chelsea will punish them in Merseyside on Saturday.
1×2 Betting Recommendation: Chelsea to win at 2.080
Manchester City v Manchester United
This is arguably game of the weekend, with Manchester United probably viewing this as their best chance at winning a Manchester derby at the Ethiad in years.
Manchester City are scoring goals but still conceding them too. They smashed four past Burnley on Tuesday but, again, conceded a slopp goal as Robbie Brady’s consolation made it 4-1. Nicolas Otamendi looked suspect again, with Fernandinho looking like their best centre-back at the moment.
Manchester United, on the other hand, come into this one on the back of a 2-1 win over Tottenham. Marcus Rashford was in superb form on Wednesday and, if he performs anything like that on Saturday, he’ll cause City all sorts of problems.
And Ole Gunnar Solskjaer‘s side haven’t been beaten heavily this season. The only game they have lost by more than one goal was away at West Ham. They also tend to fare better against the better sides in the division, winning 13 points against top-half sides and just eight against bottom-half teams. They are also the only team to take points off of Liverpool this season.
Sergio Aguero is still unavailable for City too, meaning Gabriel Jesus will more than likely lead the line. I like Jesus but he’s not at the same level of Aguero and I think the Argentine, who loves scoring in these derbies, will be a miss for Pep Guardiola.
I really like the look of United with a +1.5 start on the Asian handicap, meaning we get a half win if the Red Devils lose by one and a full pay out if they can muster a win or a draw.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Man Utd +1.50 at 2.020
Aston Villa v Leicester
I always like backing goals when it comes to Aston Villa. Dean Smith sets up his side to get forward in numbers and that means that, whilst they normally tend to get on the scoresheet, they conceded a fair few too. Jack Grealish, Trezeguet and Wesley were the front three against Chelsea – they scored one and could have had more at Stamford Bridge.
They’re playing a Leicester side who are no strangers to the back of the net themselves. Their forward line of the likes of Harvey Barnes, Ayoze Perez, James Maddison and Jamie Vardy is frightening, along with Youri Tielemans and Wilfried Ndidi, they are almost unstoppable.
Both these sides are in the top seven for goals scored, netting 57 goals in 30 games between them. Although Leicester have one of the best defensive records in the division, Villa have conceded one of the hightest amount of goals in the division.
I can see Leicester winning this game and scoring a few in the process. They’ve scored two or more in all of their last 12 games in all competitions and I wouldn’t be surprised if they did it again in Birmingham on Sunday.
As for Dean Smith’s side, they’ve seen over 2.5 goals land in 11 of their last 12 games, and have registered goals against Liverpool and Manchester City, so I can’t see them drawing a blank here.
Over 3 Asian goals is 2.020 which I think is a more than generous price looking at the stats. We’ll get a full refund if there are three goals and a full payout if there are four or more.
Asian Total Goals Betting Recommendation: Over 3.00 goals at 2.020
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A lot of Premier League derby is taking place with Aston Villa v Leicester, Manchester City v Manchester United, Everton v Chelsea!
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