Monchengladbach v Werder – BORUSSIA-PARK at 13:30 GMT+1 at BT Sport
“It’s always fun to be a Foal but especially at the moment because we’re playing really well and we’ve been winning a lot of games,” said Oscar Wendt, who scored in Borussia Monchengladbach’s 2-1 win at Bayer Leverkusen last weekend to extend Gladbach’s lead at the top of the Bundesliga to three points.
The Foals condemned Leverkusen to a first home league defeat of the season despite being without forwards Alassane Plea and Breel Embolo. Marco Rose’s side consolidated their position at the Bundesliga summit with a workmanlike victory – the perfect response to their DFB Cup exit at the hands of Dortmund.
Monchengladbach hadn’t topped the table since 2011 but will expect to stay there on Sunday when welcoming Werder Bremen to Borussia-Park. That’s despite the hosts welcoming Roma here for Europa League duty on Thursday as Rose has rotated his squad excellently thus far when juggling competitions.
Embolo and Plea remain major doubts, so Lars Stindl and/or Patrick Herrmann could feature alongside top scorer Marcus Thuram. The Frenchman is one of 10 different players to have found the net for the club this season with only Bayern, Leipzig (both 25) and Dortmund (23) scoring more than the Foals’ 21 goal-tally.
Gladbach a fair price to succeed
Gladbach [1.85] have also performed with aplomb in defensive areas, boasting the division’s second-meanest backline. And the underlying data metrics suggest the Foals are in their lofty position on merit, posting top three ratio returns when viewing both Expected Goals (xG) and xG from open play.
Borussia-Park has proven to be a strong venue for the hosts over the years, tabling 12 triumphs from the Foals’ last 22 Bundesliga battles here. However, under Rose that record improves to W3-D1-L1 as Gladbach have found their grove under the Austrian following an inauspicious start to the season.
Werder are certainly no easy meat and Florien Kohfeldt’s troops travel south with a solitary loss from their first five away days this term (W1-D3-L1). Even so, in his 34 games as guests as Bremen boss, the River Islanders have been beaten on 14 occasions and managed only three clean sheets in that same sample.
Goals are our best play
Goals have been a regular feature of Werder’s road trips under Kohfeldt with the visitors firing just five blanks – 26 (76%) of which saw both sides score and 21 (62%) landing Over 2.5 Goals. This season alone, Bremen have surpassed the Over 2.5 Goals line in all five matches with four even featuring Over 4.5 Goals.
Gladbach haven’t proven quite as prolific but still 15/22 (68%) of the Foals’ home fixtures since the start of last season have seen three or more goals land with four of their opening five outings under Rose here following suit. With two attack-minded outfits on show, taking Over 2.75 Goals appeals at 1.70.
Asian Total Goals Betting Recommendation: Over 2.75 goals at 1.700
Preview by: @MarkOHaire.