Midtjylland v Southampton – MCH Arena at 19:45 live on BT Sport
FC Midtjylland and Southampton meet once again this week in the 2nd leg of their UEFA Europa League Qualification tie at the MCH Arena. The spoils were shared in the first leg and this should be a close, but possibly dull affair.
Jay Rodriguez scored his first goal in 16 months for the Saints at St. Mary’s last week from the spot to level things at 1-1.
Ex-Southampton player, Tim Sparv put the visitors ahead on the stroke of half time but it was the home side who were strongest in the second half.
Steven Caulker had a goal disallowed and Midtjylland keeper Johan Dahlin made a couple of fine saves to take the tie back to Denmark all square.
The Saints controlled 60% of the ball and created 23 chances, with 9 shots on target. They head into tonight as 2.25 favourites but have failed to win any of their last 5 matches.
Their last win was against Vitesse in the last round of qualification and have since conceded 6 goals and scored just 3.
They come into the match after a disappointing draw with newly promoted Watford in the Premier League and seem to be lacking confidence.
Midtjylland aren’t in the greatest form either, having drawn their last 3 matches and are also struggling for goals.
I don’t expect this to be a high scoring match but the 1.72 offered on Under 2.5 is a little short.
The Danish champions will proceed to the group stages with a 0-0 and may look to try and restrict Southampton in attack. However, if the Saints create as many chances as they did in the first leg, I would expect them to score.
Although Southampton have clearly not been at their best so far this season, this is a huge game for them and they are the better side.
It’s not going to be easy for Ronald Koeman’s men but I think they have enough to win and qualify. I make them the value bet on the Asian Handicap betting market -0.25 at 1.92.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Southampton-0.25 at 1.92
Prices correct at time of writing.
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