Getafe v Barcelona – Coliseum Alfonso Perez at 19:30 live on Sky Sports 2
We’re nine games down in La Liga and there’s a trio of familiar faces leading the pack. Real Madrid are taking top honours on goal difference from bitter rivals Barcelona with Atletico Madrid hanging on to their coattails in third.
It’s no great surprise to see the three clubs jostling at the top of the tree but what has been rather eye-opening is Barcelona’s defensive performances (or lack of) in 2015/16. The defending champions are haemorrhaging and I see no sign of that part of their game being amended in the short-term.
Since triumphing in the Champions League last May, Barcelona have been struggling for stability at the back and have now conceded goals in 12 of their 15 fixtures across all competitions this term.
Eibar, Rayo Vallecano, Las Palmas and Levante have all found a way through the brittle backline of the Bluagrana with five sides even notching at least twice against Luis Enrique’s men. And now the Catalans will be without Javier Mascherano through suspension.
Still, Barcelona’s W7-D0-L2 in La Liga action has kept their bid to defend their La Liga crown on track and this weekend they head to the capital for a clash with Getafe. Of course, the Catalans will be expected to pick up three points (they’ve done so in 25/30 La Liga matches now) and the odds suggest they will do so convincingly.
But the chances of a high-scoring game look a great deal more likely than the 1.85 on Over 3 Goals we’ve been offered this weekend. If we assume Barcelona’s poor defensive record continues and they still win the fixture, immediately that brings us to the three-goal threshold. And recent stats and trends certainly point us towards a high-scoring encounter at the Coliseum.
Ten of Barca’s first 15 matches this term have at least equalled that magic three-goal barrier with six surpassing that figure. Three of their four away domestic dates have also produced a minimum of three goals and with Mascherano absent, plus the expected return of Andres Iniesta, the likelihood of goals at both ends of the field increases.
Getafe are just starting to settle under new head coach Fran Escriba and have claimed three successive victories ‘to nil’ on home soil. But right-back Carlos Vigaray is missing due to suspension, weakening their defensive solidity for this Coliseum clash.
When welcoming La Liga opposition, the Deep Blues have netted themselves in all bar two of their most recent 13 and they’ll fancy their chances of breaching the porous Barca backline, even if they’re unlikely to ruffle too many feathers.
Since Escriba started working with Getafe, five of their first nine matches have featured at least three goals with their last two outings also producing four or more and so banking on another high-scoring encounter looks a decent ploy on Saturday night.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Over 3 Goals at 1.85
Prices correct at time of writing.
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