Roma v Lazio – Stadio Olimpico at 11:30 live at BT Sport
The Rome derby is always a special occasion in Italy and the latest duel between the Eternal City’s two old foes promises plenty.
Roma restored their advantage over third-place Napoli to four points after thrashing Pescara last time out, putting the Giallorossi in pole position to secure the second automatic Champions League qualification position.
However, Luciano Spaletti’s side now start a tough run of fixtures as we enter the final furlong of the Serie A season. With Sunday’s city derby the first of three matches against Milan and Juventus on the horizon.
Roma’s rampant home record
The Wolves have suffered a sole reverse in 28 home Serie A outings and have claimed seven victories in their last eight matches. Roma’s only blip in that sample came the weekend before last against Atalanta whilst their season-long W14-D1-L1 home league record commands respect.
The hosts can also boast a mightily strong return when playing as the ‘home’ side in this fixture at the Stadio Olimpico. Roma may have been ousted from the Coppa Italia semi-finals by their neighbours but the Giallorossi have been beaten just twice in 21 Serie A meetings as the hosts in this math-up.
Daniele De Rossi is expected to start this weekend after dropping out of the team against Pescara last time out and Spalletti has few other concerns so Roma look well worth backing with a -0.50 Asian Handicap hurdle to overcome at 1.92.
Lazio need an improvement
After their fine form of the first part of the year, Lazio suffered a major wobble before Sunday’s 6-2 demolition of Palermo, in which they scored with their first five shots. That, though, was only their second win in their last six games.
Fourth-placed Lazio are aiming to return to Europe after a season’s hiatus and only a huge collapse from now until the end of the season would surely undermine the Biancocelesti’s chances of returning to continental action.
Simone Inzaghi’s men have recorded the double over top-six rivals Atalanta but managed just W0-D2-L5 when taking on the rest of the top-six, scoring just once in three games as guests at the league’s elite.
The visitors will also be without the suspended central midfielder Sergej Milinkovic. Lazio have won just two of 13 on the road without him since the start of last season, with those wins coming against bottom-six clubs last term.
Lazio will need to up their game on Sunday morning and I’m not sure the Biancocelesti will be capable of stopping a rampant Roma side.
Asian Handicap Recommendation: Roma -0.50 Asian Handicap at 1.92
Prices correct at time of writing.