Real Betis v Real Valladolid – Estadio Benito Villamarín at 19:45 live at Eleven Sports
Back-to-back La Liga wins over Leganes and Girona had seen Betis rise into fifth in the La Liga standings but Los Verdiblancos were brought back down to earth when going down 1-0 at Atletico Madrid before the international break.
The two sides went into the game with the same amount of points but Diego Simeone’s strikers struggled for long periods as Betis left them little room to manoeuvre. Quique Setien’s steely side enjoyed the better of first-half possession and successfully kept the ball away from Atleti’s key forwards.
Despite another impressive rearguard effort, the Seville-based club again failed to fire themselves in the final third. Betis created few chances of their own with Loren Moron unable to give Los Verdiblancos an early lead when he broke through the middle but dragged a low drive well wide of goal.
Sunday night’s hosts have now managed to convert just 4.63% of their shots this season, and 14.29% of their on-target efforts. Both are La Liga lows, and with Setien’s side scoring, just five goals across their opening eight encounters – Betis also rank rock-bottom in goal scoring.
It’s a source of frustration for home supporters. Los Verdiblancos come into their weekend contest having recorded seven clean sheets in their past nine matches now. Go back to March and Betis have silenced 13 of their last 20 opponents, while only Getafe have faced more shots on-target domestically.
Few goals on the agenda
It shows Betis aren’t a million miles away from finding the right balance, although I’m happy to continue to follow the trends over the past six months and support another low-scoring duel when Real Valladolid arrive on Sunday night.
Just two of the hosts’ eight outings have surpassed the 2.5 goals line with six featuring no more than a solitary strike. Newly-promoted Valladolid have also delivered six winning Under 2.5 Goals selections from their first eight games, six of which were also settled by no more than one total goal.
So it’s a surprise to see Under 2.5 Goals trading as big as 1.90 here. Collectively, it’s provided profit in 12/16 (75%) of the two teams’ combined La Liga matches in 2018/19, with the same success rate for punters backing Under 1.5 Goals.
Asian Total Goals Betting Recommendation: Under 2.50 goals at 1.900
Preview by: @MarkOHaire.