RB Leipzig v Bayern Munich – Red Bull Arena at 14:30 GMT+1 at BT Sport
Bayern Munich will be crowned Bundesliga champions for the seventh successive season if they win away at third-placed RB Leipzig on Saturday but there’s certainly more favourable opposition the Bavarians would have fancied facing on the penultimate weekend of the campaign.
Sure, Ralf Rangnick’s hosts have already confirmed their place in next season’s Champions League, a first appearance in the DFB Pokal final and Die Rotten Bullen also boast an unbeaten record that stretches back to Matchday 18 (W10-D4-L0), a new club record. The Saxony side mean business.
Indeed, Leipzig are the second best performing team behind Bayern in 2019, and boast the meanest defence in the Bundesliga. Last Friday’s 3-3 draw with Mainz brought an end to a six-match winning run, though top scorer Timo Werner had a hand in all three goals and seems to be hitting peak form at the right time.
Influential midfielder Kevin Kampl is suspended but Leipzig still appear underrated in the markets where the +1 Asian Handicap holds plenty of appeal at 1.81 quotes. This selection would see our stake returned should Bayern win by exactly one goal with a draw or home success returning profit.
The second half of the season didn’t have an auspicious start for RBL. Rangnick’s side lost 1-0 at home to Dortmund, meaning they kept a place in the Bundesliga’s top four by the narrowest of margins. Since then, though, Leipzig have barely put a foot wrong and marked themselves out as one of the division’s strongest suits.
Continuity has been key with the large majority of their first-choice XI appearing in the club’s promotion season in 2015/16. Defensively too, Rangnick’s side leaked only six goals in 13 Bundesliga matches before last Friday night’s thriller in Mainz. The hosts certainly know how to make life difficult for Bayern.
The visitors are keen to put the title race to bed with a game to spare. A win would keep the Meisterschale in Munich for another season, but a draw or defeat could leave them needing a result away to Eintracht Frankfurt on the final weekend, depending on how Dortmund fare against Fortuna Dusseldorf.
Head coach Niko Kovac is expected to recall Javi Martinez after the midfielder sat out the 3-1 win over rock-bottom Hannover. And whilst Bayern are fair favourites to come out on top – having won 17 of their last 20 – there’s little value to be gleaned by backing the Bavarians to hose up on this tricky trip.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: RB Leipzig +1.00 at 1.810
Preview by: @MarkOHaire.