Chelsea v Arsenal
Arsenal have been a far better side under Mikel Arteta and, although results haven’t necessarily improved as much as they would have hoped, it seems as though the dismissal of Unai Emery was the right decision.
It’s clear that Arteta has aimed to improve the shoddy Arsenal defence since he has taken over, with the Gunners conceding 32 goals in 23 games so far this season. They’ve kept just two clean sheets since the Spaniard’s arrival but they have only let in five goals in his six games. Under 2.5 goals has landed in all but one of those games – ironically the only game it didn’t land in was the reverse fixture against Chelsea – and I think that could be a good angle to take here.
You’d think that the absence of key man Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang will also help this bet, with the Gabon international bagging 14 goals this season, which is a goal every 139 minutes. Young striker Eddie Nketiah and Gabriel Martinelli will look to fill Aubameyang’s boots alongside Alexandre Lacazette, but you have to doubt their attacking credentials without their captain.
Chelsea’s last game was a 1-0 defeat away at Newcastle, where their failure to find the back of the net came back to haunt them on Tyneside. Just two of their last seven games have seen three or more goals, with both teams scoring in just two of those seven games two. Tammy Abraham has scored just twice in those seven games and the England striker has failed to replicate his early season form of late.
I can potentially see a narrow Chelsea win here but, under Arteta 1-1 has been a popular scoreline so I wouldn’t rule that out either. However, I’m going to take goals angle here and back under 3 Asian goals at 1.810. I can see this being a cagey game and one neither team can afford to lose in their hunt for a top four spot.
Asian Total Goals Betting Recommendations: Under 3.00 at 1.810
Sheffield United v Manchester City
These two faced each other just a few weeks ago and Sheffield United were unlucky not to get anything from that game at the Etihad. Lys Mousset had a goal ruled out by VAR and, despite losing 2-0, Chris Wilder will have felt aggrieved that they didn’t come away with at least a point.
Since then, they have won two of their last four games in all competitions, with their only defeat in those games coming against Liverpool. They were quite lucky to get all three points with West Ham a couple of weeks ago, along with a narrow 2-1 win over AFC Fylde in the FA Cup. Those performances were slightly underwhelming, but a 1-1 draw at the Emirates at the weekend will have given them encouragement heading them into this one.
Manchester City haven’t kept a clean sheet since their last game against Sheffield United around four weeks ago but have remained unbeaten. They’ve won four of their last five games, scoring 17 goals in that time. However, a 2-2 draw with Crystal Palace at the weekend was disappointing and, if it wasn’t already, all but confirmed Liverpool as title winners.
Whilst they haven’t beaten any of the ‘Big Six’ this season, they have lost just four of their eight games against them so far this season. Two defeats to Liverpool, along with losses to Leicester and Manchester City. They’ve drawn those other four games – arguably deserving to win a couple of them – and, if they play as well as they have in the past against the top six sides, I see no reason why they can’t get something here.
You can back Sheffield United with a +1.5 start at 1.850, which would mean this is a winner if they win, draw or even lose by one goal.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendations: Sheff Utd +1.50 at 1.850
Crystal Palace v Southampton
This is ninth against thirteenth in the Premier League, with both hoping they’re now out of relegation trouble.
Crystal Palace are unbeaten in their last five games, drawing against Manchester City and Arsenal and find themselves, surprisingly, in the top half the table. Their 2-2 draw at the Etihad on Saturday will have given them plenty of confidence heading into this one, after they scored a last-minute equaliser.
Their home form is also impressive and they’ve lost just three games at Selhurst Park all season – Liverpool, Leicester and City, the top three in the Premier League. They’ve won four and drawn five of those other games and their good form in South London is the main reason why the Eagles find themselves flying high in the Premier League.
I backed Southampton to beat Wolves on Saturday and, when they went 2-0 up, I thought that that was a winner, but Wolves came back to win 3-2 and take all three points. Southampton were in really good form before the game at the weekend but that result on Saturday will have knocked that somewhat.
The Saints have won their last three away games but, before that, they failed to win any of their last six games on the road, conceding 12 goals in that period. I feel like they’re an extremely streaky team and they could perhaps be beginning to head into another period of bad form after a devastating defeat at the weekend.
This is more of a price play, because I can’t quite work out how Crystal Palace are almost 3.00 to win this game at home. I was tempted to take them on the outright markets but I’m going to play it slightly safer and back them with a +0.25 start at 1.790. We’d get a full return if Palace win this game and see a half win if they can only manage a draw on Tuesday.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendations: Palace +0.25 at 1.790
Preview by: @AdamGoodwin
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