Southampton v Wolves
Despite being in relegation trouble a couple of months ago, Southampton have managed to climb their way up the table with some superb results recently. They are unbeaten in their last six games in all competitions, winning five of them, including victories over Tottenham and Leicester. They’ve also lost just one of their last six home games and are starting to make St Mary’s a fortress.
Part of their good form is down to the goals scored by Danny Ings. The former Liverpool forward has 10 goals in his last 11 games and those goals could potentially earn him an England call-up for Euro 2020.
Contrarily, Wolves have had a dip in form of late and, despite being in prime position for a European spot earlier in the season, have dropped down to seventh. Their small squad struggled over the Christmas period and have failed to win any of their last four games. They’ve also won just two of their last nine away games and clearly struggle on the road.
Wolves have a cup game away at Manchester United on Wednesday but, with what is already likely to be a pretty hectic schedule coming up with the Europa League, they won’t be too bothered about that game and I expect them to rest the majority of their first team players. Some will still be involved and I don’t think that replay will help them in any way.
Southampton are just three points behind the Midlands side now and I really like the 1.810 available on them with a 0.0 start on the Asian handicap. We’ll get our money back if this game ends in a draw and a full payout if Ralph Hasenhuttl’s side can continue their good run of form.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Southampton 0.00 at 1.810
Brighton v Aston Villa
I am a huge fan of Brighton this season under Graham Potter and, whenever I’ve watched them, they’ve been really exciting. Summer signings Aaron Mooy and Neal Maupay have particularly impressed me and have stepped up to the Premier League seamlessly.
However, I’m quite worried about Aston Villa. They come into this one on the back of 6-1 demolition by Manchester City and their injuries are continuing to rack up. Key men Tom Heaton, Matt Targett, John McGinn and Wesley are all unavailable, with the majority of those being long-term absentees, leaving them short across the pitch. They have strengthened with the addition of goalkeeper Pepe Reina this week, but whether the former Liverpool goalkeeper will stop an in-form Brighton side is yet to be seen.
Brighton have lost just two of their last eight home games, beating Tottenham and drawing against Chelsea at the AMEX. They’ve scored 13 goals in those eight matches so they can definitely find the back of the net, but they’ve also only conceded eight goals so, with Lewis Dunk, Adam Webster and Dan Burn impressing at the back, their defence looks solid enough too.
Dean Smith has come under pressure from sections of the Aston Villa fan base of late, and they head into this game with eight defeats in their last 11 games. Their only two victories were against Burnley and Norwich, were are two of the worst sides in the league, which doesn’t bode well when they head down south on Sunday.
Both of these sides need a win in this one and I’d side with the home team. You can back Brighton with a -0.75 start at 1.840 which I think looks a nice price. If they win by one goal we’ll get a half win and if they win by two or more – which Villa’s opposition have done in their last five league defeats – we’ll get a full payout.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Brighton -0.75 at 1.840
Watford v Tottenham
These two teams both come into this in completely different form, with Watford climbing the table and Tottenham sliding down it.
Nigel Pearson has come in and worked wonders at Watford and, since a defeat to Liverpool in his first game, they are unbeaten since he took charge. They recorded an incredible 3-0 win away at Bournemouth thanks to another catalyst in their resurgence, Troy Deeney. The Hornets captain’s all-round play and second goal in that win earned him Man of the Match, and I have no doubt that he’ll cause the Tottenham defence just as much hassle as he did the Bournemouth one on Sunday.
As I mentioned, Tottenham have really flattered to deceive since Jose Mourinho took over and I’ve tipped against them a few times since the Portuguese took over and won. They nearly chucked away a 2-0 during the week against Middlesbrough in their FA Cup replay, highlighting their lack of confidence at the moment.
Harry Kane’s injury actually made Tottenham better when he was out last season, with Lucas Moura and Heung-Min Son stepping up to the plate. However, they look really short of firepower at the moment and, despite the good form of Giovani Lo Celso who is really starting to impress, they aren’t scoring as much as they would have hoped.
This is my favourite bet of the week and I can’t see Watford’s good run of form coming to an end against a poor Spurs side. You can back them with a +0.25 start at 1.950, which would mean that a draw would give us a half payout and a home win by any scoreline will give us a full payout. This bet hasn’t lost in Watford’s last six league games and lost only once in Tottenham’s last five league games.
strong>Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Watford +0.25 at 1.950
Preview by: @AdamGoodwin
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