Chelsea v West Ham
Chelsea’s good run of form came to an end with a defeat to title-holders Manchester City on Saturday evening, but there were plenty of signs of encouragement from the game. Frank Lampard’s side opened the scoring at the Ethiad and created plenty of chances throughout the game, but a couple of mistakes at the back were punished.
Goals have been a common theme in Chelsea games this season, scoring 28 and conceding 19 in their opening 13 league games. Tammy Abraham has been their main source of goals but the likes of Christian Pulisic and Mason Mount have also chipped in, giving this young Blues side some real threat going forward.
Their defence hasn’t been as tight as they would’ve liked, but it has improved since conceding four on the opening day of the season against Manchester United. Fikayo Tomori and Kurt Zouma seems to be the preferred pairing at the moment, but they do have a mistake in them.
West Ham are the visitors to Stamford Bridge on Saturday and they arrive with their manager under some pressure. After a solid start to the season, they’re now eight games without a win. They’ve conceded 20 goals in that time, which coincides with the injury sustained by Lukas Fabianksi. Spanish ‘keeper Roberto has been his replacement and he’s been from convincing, to say the least.
There was some improvement from the Hammers towards the end of their game against Tottenham on Saturday as they scored two late goals, which showed they are capable of finding the back of the net.
I’m going to back over 3.25 Asian goals in what I expect will be a fierce encounter against two London rivals. Three goals would see half our stake returned and four or more would see a full payout.
Asian Total Goals Betting Recommendation: Over 3.25 goals at 1.860
Norwich v Arsenal
I have to oppose Arsenal here after watching their game against Southampton on Saturday and, against a resurgent Norwich side, I can see them dropping points once again.
In that game at the Emirates at the weekend, they conceded an xG (Expected Goals) of 2.60 against the Saints, who currently sit in the Premier League relegation zone. They managed to scrape a 2-2 draw from the game, but their performance showed that something needs to change. Whether that’s Unai Emery, I don’t know. But another performance like that against Norwich on Sunday and they’ll continue to drop points.
Norwich beat Everton on Saturday and that could be the result that sees the start of their climb off the foot of the league. Admittedly, Everton were poor in that game but Norwich punished them, something which I can see them doing to Arsenal, if given the chance.
Teemu Pukki has been on a bit of a goal drought, but I think his clever movement and running in-behind could cause the Gunners defence some real problems. Norwich had an xG of 1.81 on Saturday so their win was no fluke, and they know that a similar performance at Carrow Road against Arsenal will give them a real shot at picking up another three points.
You have to also remember that they beat Manchester City in East Anglia earlier this season, so it’s far from an easy place to go. Arsenal have won one of their last nine games away from home, so the stats undoubtedly back up my pick for this game.
You can back Daniel Farke’s side at 1.840 with a +0.75 start on the Asian handicap, which would see a full payout if the hosts win or draw and half our stake returned if they lose by one goal.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Norwich +0.75 at 1.840
Leicester v Everton
Leicester can’t seem to stop winning games and come into this one off the back of a 2-0 win away at Brighton. Some people expected Brendan Rodgers’ side to potentially drop off after their good start but, if anything, they keep getting better.
Jamie Vardy is still scoring goals, with the likes of James Maddison and Youri Tielemans creating chance after chance for the forward. And defensively they look better than ever, keeping the most clean sheets in the league and winning their last four matches to nil. The emergence of Caglar Soyuncu has helped this unbelievable defensive record and they’ll be a few teams keeping an eye on him as we head towards the transfer window.
After their win on the road last weekend, they’re back at the King Power on Sunday, where they’ve lost just one of their last 12 Premier League games, stretching back into last season. They’ve also won nine of their last 11 league games which is an astonishing record, and they’ll be confident of picking up another three points here.
Everton, on the other hand, are on a ghastly run of form, with manager Marco Silva under some severe pressure. It seems as though he’ll be in charge of this game at the weekend, but a defeat could lead to his sacking.
The Toffees have lost six of their last nine league games and have won just one of their away games this season (a 2-1 win at a struggling Southampton). It looked as though their performances had started to improve but their 2-0 defeat to bottom-placed Norwich on Saturday highlighted how poor they really are.
I fancy Leicester to win this game and, although it may seem a short price, I think there’s some value on the 1.625 available on the Foxes to win this game. It’s two teams in contrasting form and I can’t see anything other than the home side coming away with all three points.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Leicester to win at 1.625
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