Norwich v Watford
Perhaps it’s too early to be talking about a ‘relegation six pointer’ but, if it’s not, this certainly is one.
Norwich started the season as one of the favourites to go down and, so far, they’ve lived up to that billing. Despite the best efforts of Teemu Pukki, who has scored six goals this season (despite a recent dry spell) and a win against champions Manchester City, the Canaries are second-bottom of the league on just seven points.
Watford, on the other hand, were looking to build on a 11th-place finish and an FA Cup final last season, with very few expecting them to be near the bottom of the table. They are 20th and rock bottom of the league at the moment, but a win could see them leapfrog Friday night’s opposition.
As I mentioned earlier, Pukki has been Norwich’s star man this season, just like the last, and has prevented this season being even worse than what it could’ve been with his goals. The Fin hasn’t scored since the middle of September for Norwich and will be keen to get on the scoresheet when his team desperately need him to – something he had a knack of doing in their Championship winning campaign.
We know Daniel Farke’s side are capable of scoring goals, as they hit three past Manchester City, but they also concede a fair few too. There have been 24 goals in their five away games this season (almost five per game), and 14 of those came from the opposition. I think they’re still finding their best defence, amongst a heap of injuries, and I can see more goals – for and against – on Friday.
Watford are also struggling when it comes to conceding goals and, as well as their 8-0 thrashing by Manchester City, have conceded two goals in each of their last two games. Like Norwich, they have the ability to score goals too, as they showed in their 2-1 defeat to Chelsea on Saturday. Gerard Deulofeu and Roberto Pereyra are two players with real quality that I think can punish the Norwich defence.
You can back over 3 Asian goals at 2.070 goals and, in a game that both teams will be desperate to win, I think they can cover the four goals needed for this bet to win. Three goals in this match will see our stake refunded.
Asian Total Goals Betting Recommendation: Over 3.00 goals at 2.070
Leicester v Arsenal
This is a must-win game for Unai Emery. There are many reports stating that if the Spaniard fails to win this game, he will lose his job. And it won’t be easy against a Leicester side bang on-form.
The Gunners played in the Europa League on Wednesday night and will have more than enough time to prepare for this one. They played a second-string side in that game as well, ensuring key men such as Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Hector Bellerin will be fit and ready to play. And they’ll need to be to stop a poor run of form, which means they have just one win in their last five league games.
We all know about Arsenal’s incredible front-line, which is likely to consist of Aubameyang, Nicolas Pepe and Alexandre Lacazette on Saturday evening, and they’ve helped their side score 16 goals in 11 games this season.
But their weaknesses at the back is clear to see too. They played a back three in Portugal on Wednesday and they looked vulnerable, to say the least. I certainly don’t trust the likes of Sokratis and Shkodran Mustafi against the pace of Jamie Vardy and/or Ayoze Perez in attack.
Leicester have been unstoppable recently, and their 9-0 win over Southampton a couple of weeks ago highlighted that. They beat Crystal Palace comfortably at the weekend and they’ll be looking to cement their place in the Premier League top four with a win at home on Saturday.
They clearly don’t fear anyone at the moment, especially an Arsenal side looking extremely low on confidence, so they’ll back themselves to continue to score goals. The creativity of James Maddison and Youri Tielemans feeding Vardy and Perez looks impossible to stop, at times, and I fancy them to seriously trouble this Arsenal defence.
Including their 9-0 win, there’s been 26 goals in their last five games in the Premier League. They’ve been scoring a hell of a lot, but also conceding a few too. So, rather than taking Leicester to win (which I was tempted to do), I’m going to take over 3 Asian goals in this one too. I think Leicester could score four on their own against this shaky Arsenal defence, but I wouldn’t be surprised if Arsenal got a couple themselves. This is available at 1.960 and I think that’s a nice price.
Asian Total Goals Betting Recommendation: Over 3.00 goals at 1.960
Liverpool v Manchester City
This is arguably the biggest game of the season in the Premier League and, after last Sunday’s borefest, I think this will live up to the ‘Super Sunday’ tag.
Liverpool scraped another narrow win 2-1 win over Genk on Tuesday, a style of victory that they’ve become accustomed to over the last couple of months. This will perhaps worry some fans but winning narrowly is needed if you are to win a title.
The Reds’ last clean sheet came over a month ago, however, and they’ve conceded the first goal in their last three league games. That’s a trend that can’t continue and, if it does, I think Manchester City will make them pay.
As for Manchester City’s side, they drew 1-1 with Atalanta, but the main news from that game was that goalkeeper Ederson came off with an injury. Claudio Bravo came on and got sent off so, if the Chilean starts the game at Anfield, I really wouldn’t be confident in Pep Guardiola’s side keeping a clean sheet.
And, like Liverpool, clean sheets have been hard to come by for City in recent weeks, keeping one in their last five games in all competitions. Nicolas Otamendi and Fernandinho look the most likely candidates to start at centre-back for this one, and that really isn’t a partnership that will strike fear into Liverpool’s attackers. And with Bravo potentially in goal, I think Liverpool could really score a few here.
Whilst this could easily be a cagey draw, I think an early goal could open this game up and lead it to being a really good encounter.
These sides haven’t stopped scoring goals this season and, for their usual high standards, they haven’t had too much success in keeping them out either. To continue my trend of backing goals this weekend, I’m going to have a punt on over 2.75 Asian goals at 1.860. Three goals would see us win half of our returns, any more than that and we’d have a full return.
Asian Total Goals Betting Recommendation: Over 2.75 goals at 1.860
Preview by: @AdamGoodwin__
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