Southampton v Man Utd
I’ve been pro-Southampton for a couple of weeks now and they’ve started to play the way I expected them to at the start of the season. After a disappointing opening day defeat to Burnley, they went on to put a in a good performance against European Champions Liverpool and then beating Brighton away from home, albeit against 10-men for a large proportion of that game.
Their Expected Goals (xG) has been impressive in those three games, winning the xG battle in all of them. Che Adams, Nathan Redmond and Danny Ings have been the standout performers so far, and it’s good to see an all-English attack being utilised in the Premier League. New signing Moussa Djenepo scored a stunning goal on his debut, meaning the Saints have plenty of options going forward.
This might cause problems for Manchester United on Saturday, who, after their 4-0 win over Chelsea on the opening weekend, have come back down to earth with a bump after a 1-1 draw with Wolves and then a shock 2-1 defeat to Crystal Palace at Old Trafford. They arguably didn’t deserve to lose that game, having had a couple of penalty appeals turned down as well as missing one from the spot too.
Jordan Ayew’s pace was too much the United opener – something which Southampton will have noted – and David de Gea made a mistake (yep, another one) in added time to let Patrick van Aanholt score the winner. The Red Devils can’t afford to make errors like they did last weekend, and that’s one thing that Ole Gunnar Solskjaer will undoubtedly be keen to cut out of his team’s performances.
Ralph Hasenhuttl’s side will be positive heading into this one, especially when they look at United’s result against Palace. You can Saints at 1.810 with a +0.25 start, which would result in a profit if they win or draw.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Southampton +0.25 at 1.810
Leicester v Bournemouth
Leicester and Bournemouth are two teams that always tend to play attacking football, and they go head-to-head on Saturday.
Brendan Rodgers has instilled this offensive style of play at Leicester and, as I think I’ve already mentioned in one of these columns, they have an array of attacking talent, including Jamie Vardy, Ayoze Perez and James Maddison, just to name a few. They haven’t banged in the goals so far this season, but I think it’s only a matter of time. We saw against Chelsea that they have the ability to really go at a team, and I think they’ll attempt to do that at home on Saturday.
As for Bournemouth, they were well beaten by Manchester City at home last weekend, but they put up a good fight against the Premier League champions. Harry Wilson fired in one of his now trademark free-kicks and the Cherries had a fair few chances to put themselves ahead at 0-0. Their xG has been good going forward, registering 4.88 in their three games this season.
However, their defensive xG has been slightly worrying. Ignoring the Man City game, they conceded an xG of 1.34 and 1.63 against promoted sides, Sheffield United and Aston Villa. Don’t get me wrong, it’s not terrible, but if you concede decent chances against a team like Leicester – especially with someone as clinical as Vardy up-top – you will concede goals.
The last three games between these sides have featured ten goals, so I’m pretty keen on the over 2.75 goals line, which is available at 1.840. We’ll make profit if there are three or more goals in the game (half win if there are three, full pay-out if there are four or more) and, if both teams play their normal, attacking style here, I can see nothing else but the goals flowing.
Asian Total Goals Betting Recommendation: Over 2.75 goals at 1.840
Arsenal v Tottenham
Both these North London rivals are coming into this game off the back of poor performances, as Arsenal were beaten comfortably by Liverpool and Spurs were shocked at home to Newcastle. They now have the chance to bounce-back before the international break, as they face each other in the first North London derby of the season.
The Gunners couldn’t handle Liverpool at Anfield last weekend, with David Luiz having a bit of a shocker as he gave away a penalty and got skinned by Mo Salah for the fourth goal. However, they had plenty of chances to take the lead before Liverpool eventually ran riot and, if they had scored one, it could’ve been a completely different game. I backed goals in that game and I’m going for a similar bet here for the same reason.
That reason is that Arsenal front-three. I’d say they’re one of the best attacking trios in the world and, even though they only started two of them on Saturday (Pierre-Emerick Aubmeyang and Nicolas Pepe), I wouldn’t be surprised to see Alexandre Lacazette join them in this game at the Emirates.
Tottenham suffered what can only be described as a dreadful result against Newcastle at home on Sunday, as they lost 1-0 to one of the teams hotly tipped for relegation at the start of the season. There was a contentious penalty call late on and numerous chances missed, so they were arguably unlucky not to come away with anything, but there’s no doubt that they need to be winning these games.
This, like the Leicester v Bournemouth game already mentioned, always tends to feature goals. There’s been ten in the last three games between these two, which included a 4-2 at the Emirates last year. Over 3 goals on the Asian line is available at 2.000 and I can see an entertaining game between these two rivals, with them both needing the win. Three goals would see our stake refunded; four or more and we get paid out.
Asian Total Goals Betting Recommendation: Over 3.00 goals at 2.000
More thrilling Premier League matches are about to come your way this weekend! You don’t want to miss out on the thrill, so use these recommendations and place your bets with Eastbridge’s Skype betting.