May 12, 2017

NBA Handicap Betting Preview – Friday 12th May by @DavAulak

Boston Celtics @ Washington Wizards Game 6 Pick

The home team has dominated this Eastern Conference Semi Final series with all five previous games being won by the host. Each game has seen the host also cover as the favourite and it is up to the Washington Wizards to try and give themselves one more opportunity to win on the road in Game 7 by taking Game 6.

That won’t be easy against the Boston Celtics who were shooting the ball efficiently in Game 5 as they earned production from the role players supporting Isaiah Thomas. His ability to collapse the Defense of the Wizards opened things up, but Avery Bradley needs to be given a lot of credit for his best game in the series as he knocked down the shots that Washington gave to him.

The pressure has now shifted to the Wizards to produce a better all around effort in Game 6, but the support from the fans can help them achieve that. They had some decent looks in Game 5 that didn’t go down and the Wizards have been much stronger at home where they will look to level the series again like they did in Game 4.

Bradley Beal is a key for Washington and can’t have the same struggles as in Game 5, while the other key issue was the fact that Boston were able to win the battle on the boards. That came after being out-rebounded by a combined twenty-six boards in Game 3 and 4 and was also the first time in the series where Boston had an edge on that statistic.

I do think Washington have it in them to bounce back though and I am expecting to see them do that on Friday. They have played well here in the Play Offs and are 4-1 against the spread in their last five home games, while they have covered in the last four at home against the Boston Celtics.

The home team (13-3 against the spread) and the favourite (12-2 against the spread) have dominated the trends in the recent games in the series between these two teams. I will look for Washington to add to that by winning Game 6 with a cover of the number and forcing the series back to Boston at the end of the weekend.

Handicap Betting Recommendation: Washington Wizards – 5 Points at 1.93

Prices correct at the time of writing.

By @DavAulak

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