July 20, 2018

MLS Asian Handicap Previews – 21st July Saturday

New York Red Bulls v New England Revolution

The Red Bulls bounced back well following their derby defeat to NYC by defeating Sporting Kansas City 3-2. This was new head coach Chris Armas’ first victory since taking over at the helm a couple of weeks ago and he’ll now eye another 3 points here. It won’t be easy facing the Revolution but the Red Bulls are definitely the superior team. In the Eastern Conference, they sit in third place, but with games in hand on both NYC and Atlanta. Win those and they are right up there with the pace not just to win the Conference, but also the Supporters Shield. The Bulls have a 7-1-1 home record this season and their Arena has been a fair fortress, not many teams come here and get anything.

The Revolution travel here in 5th spot in the East, but have now lost their last two matches. Perhaps Brad Friedel’s men were unlucky last weekend when they succumbed 2-3 vs LA Galaxy. Considering the fact that the Revs played with ten men for a lot of that contest some people would argue they deserved better. What followed was a 2-1 midweek loss against Minnesota, and now they are on the road again just a few days later in New York. Could the wheels be starting to fall off? Well, I don’t think long term they will, but this might just be one of those tricky periods for New England and I suspect this game comes at a really awkward time for them.

I like two picks for this game. The first is to back the Red Bulls on a -1.25 Asian Handicap. I just think this is almost an automatic pick on them at home against virtually anyone apart from the fellow top class opposition. The Revolution aren’t that bad or anything, but they aren’t in the elite nature of someone like the Red Bulls. Due to the difficult scheduling and New England seemingly drifting out of form a bit I’d be surprised if New York don’t take this match by at least a couple of goals. Speaking of goals, there should be a few overall here too. I sense quite an open match the Revolution will probably have a decent go. They might bag one goal, but in all truth the Red Bulls could easily cover an over 3 line on their own, so it makes sense to back it as well.

Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: New York Red Bulls -1.25 at 2.050

Asian Total Goals Betting Recommendation: Over 3.00 goals at 1.840

Philadelphia Union v LA Galaxy

This is a meeting between two teams who don’t play each other much. In each of the last six seasons, they have only met once a year, even including friendlies. So familiarity isn’t great but usually that has led to open and higher scoring matches. The 0-0 draw in 2017 was a freak exception because prior to that then goals were pentifull. Both of these sides head into the match in a relatively good form, especially the Galaxy who have lost just 1 of their last 9 MLS games. This run of results has propelled them up to 6th in the Western Conference and they are starting to breathe down the necks of those above. Last weekend Sigi Schmid’s side came from behind to beat New England away from home, and they even managed to do it without Zlatan Ibrahimovic who didn’t travel with the team and was given some rest time.

His return here isn’t great news for the Union, although they themselves have had a nice ten-day break in which to prepare for this game. The last time Philly were in action was a wild 4-3 victory away at Chicago fire. That win puts them just outside of the playoff spots in the East but I sense this is a team that could continue to surprise. When on song they are actually capable of beating anyone, but sloppy mistakes and poor finishing can cost this team. The lack of a true quality #9 type striker is definitely an Achilles heel. I often sense that whenever the Union face a top class side they freeze a bit as well, such as when Atlanta came to town a couple of weeks ago.

I’m not sure who is going to win this game, it really feels like one which is literally capable of going either way. Philly are surprisingly odds-on favourites to win but if I had to personally choose I would probably rather back LA Galaxy on a +0.5 Asian Handicap. That isn’t a market I want to get involved in though and instead I will target goals as per usual. Over 3 looks a fine enough price around the 1.92 mark. Really this should be an open sort of frantic match with loads of chances at both ends. Philly will probably miss plenty as per usual, but there’s enough quality overall to bag at least 3 goals, with probably more to come.

Asian Total Goals Betting Recommendation: Over 3.00 goals at 1.920

Preview by: @meatmansoccer.

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