Philadelphia Union v New York City FC
Philly have made the playoffs and will be at home in their first match whatever the outcome here. Victory vs NYC this weekend combined with an Atlanta slip up could see them secure the second seeded spot, whilst might ultimately make things easier down the line. It’s been a good campaign for the Union, even if they have gone slightly off the boil in recent weeks. It hasn’t helped that their last three matches have all been away from home. Here at the Talen Energy Stadium Philly have an impressive 10-4-2 record and this place has become quite a fortress. They score an average of more than 2 goals per game at this venue which is another impressive statistic. The motivation for the Union is the try and secure that second place in front of their own fans and that might prove to be crucial.
New York City FC are in a very weird position. They’ve already secured the Eastern Conference and have absolutely nothing to play for here except pride and momentum. It can be very difficult for a team to maintain its competitive edge in this sort of situation though. Just look at LAFC who have only won 1 of their last 4 games in the knowledge that the Supporters Shield was always going to be obtained realistically. NYC didn’t play badly at New England last week but they were a bit blaisee in approach at times and some sloppy mistakes can develop in these sorts of situations. I expect this will be quite an open game of football, goals usually flow when these two teams meet. The home side usually wins this contest as well, with 7 of the last 8 H2H meetings resulting in that outcome. I think taking Philly on the nose just to win this match at anything 1.75+ is a good bet. The extra motivation combined with home advantage should see them over the line.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Philadelphia Union -0.50 at 1.750
DC United v FC Cincinnati
DC United had a very rocky summer during which their results were all over the place. It looked like they were struggling to gain control of many games and they were conceding far too many chances to the opposition. They somehow managed to grind their way through this period picking up the odd victory along the way. Matters off the field were hardly ideal either, especially the Wayne Rooney saga. However, things seem to have settled down and at this crucial stage of the campaign United definitely regained their form. A total of ten points obtained from their last four games has been an impressive return and zero goals conceded is a bonus. DCU have leaned back upon the same solidity they showed at the start of the campaign and with the crunch part of MLS approaching, they suddenly look formidable again.
United know that a victory here would secure them fourth position, and with it a home playoff tie in the first round. Potentially going forward it could even give them an outside chance of some more home playoff matches as well. So the reward is certainly there for DCU and I expect them to claim a fairly comfortable 3 points against rock bottom Cincinnati. The wooden spoon winners have actually improved of late, even keeping a couple of clean sheets. But with nothing at stake after a long hard season it’s difficult to envisage them putting up that much fight away against a more motivated DC United. This should end in a regulation victory for Ben Olsen’s men and the best bet appears to be the hosts on a -1.25 or -1.5 Asian Handicap. There’s always a risk United might only win by a one goal margin but really you would think they get enough opportunities to put clear daylight between the two teams.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: DC United -1.25 at 1.800
Preview by: @meatmansoccer.
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