July 4, 2016

MLS Asian Handicap Betting Preview – Tuesday 4th July by @meatmansoccer

FC Dallas v Orlando City – Tuesday 2:30am

Dallas continue their pursuit of the Rapids at the top of the Western Conference. They are one point behind but have played two games more, so it’s advantage Colorado at the moment. However, Dallas gained bragging right over them by obtaining a 2-1 win in the US Open Cup on Wednesday. Mentally, this should put them in a good place knowing that they’ve recently beaten their current closest rival. The Texan outfit are one of the top home teams in MLS and have been for a number of years now. Nobody has beaten them at this stadium so far this season and it’s a real fortress. Injuries have been kind to Dallas for most of the campaign and again they have close to a clean bill of health. Their only worries are at the back where Zach Lloyd & Ryan Hollingshead are most likely out of this fixture.

Orlando suffered the embarrassment of being knocked out of the US Open Cup by USL side Fort Lauderdale last Wednesday. They didn’t field a full strength side but everyone expected them to have too much for their lower ranked opponents. In MLS, Adrian Heath’s men have only lost three matches all season but a huge collection of draws (8) has cost them. In many cases the victory was there for the taking too but they let a lead slip. Just 6 of their 16 games have been on the road this season and the Florida team aren’t particularly known for their away strength. At least condition of the team should be good with few injuries to report. Resting some key players in the cup won’t do them any harm ahead of this fixture either. But facing a strong Dallas offence, it won’t be easy for a side that’s appallingly only kept one clean sheet so far in 2016!

Dallas are a really good home team and I’d definitely expect them to prevail here. Orlando might make life difficult for them at times, but the visitors are far too soft in defence and could desperately struggle against such a strong Dallas frontline which possess great pace. The hosts are only 1.80 on a -0.75 handicap but it’s big enough for me to take. I just think they are much the better side and can deliver the goods here. A pick I’m even more confident with is over 2.75 goals. A whopping 11 of Orlando’s last 12 matches have all ended with at least three goals in them. A clean sheet for Heath’s men is rarer than a Tasmanian Tiger! I expect ‘Lando to come here looking to attack as they always do, and most likely should hit the back of the net. More Dallas matches should’ve ended over 2.5 this year and the main reason for this is because they’ve won a large number of fixtures by an exact 2-0 scoreline. But that will change sooner or later and they are naturally an attack minded side. For me, this has a good chance of ending up a comfortable home win in a high scorer.

Asian Handicap Betting Recommendations: Dallas -0.75 at 1.80 & Over 2.75 goals at 1.88


LA Galaxy v Vancouver Whitecaps – Tuesday 3:30am

The Galaxy are winless in seven MLS games as they go through their usual ‘summer slump’ period. To be fair, manager Bruce Arena has been badly hindered by injuries and player unavailability due to international duty. They did however receive a big boost in midweek when they knocked out the Timbers in the US Open Cup away from home. The Galaxy usually come back into form at some point around now and maybe this is the exact fixture in which they remind the league how good they actually are. This is a match played on Independence Day and I’d Imagine a big noisy crowd will fill the stadium. The atmosphere should be excellent and all the big star players that the Galaxy possess will surely want to put on a show. At the StubHub centre, LA Galaxy are unbeaten this season and it’s usually a real fortress of a stadium. Player absences won’t affect LA as much here with only defender Robbie Rogers currently listed as out.

Vancouver will surely travel here in a dispirited mood. They lost the Canadian Championship against Toronto last week, succumbing to a late goal and the tie was decided on away goals. They had the title in their hands but let it slip. Carl Robinson’s boys will really need some picking up after that, perhaps a big game on Independence day against the Galaxy will give them the necessary adrenaline. Last time out in MLS they beat Philly 3-2 away from home in what was a thrilling encounter. A lot of Whitecaps games in recent times have been end to end exciting contests and it’s been nearly ten matches since they last kept a clean sheet. Vancouver have won three and lost five fixtures on the road this season, it seems they are completely all or nothing. Just like Galaxy, injury news is favourable with nobody major expected to miss out.

The last four Galaxy matches in MLS have all ended comfortably under 2.5 matches. They added to the under run with the aforementioned 1-0 success against Portland in the Cup. But I know the Galaxy. Sooner or later their big attacking guns will fire and this is just the sort of stage for it to happen. If they were coming into the match in free scoring form then this goal line would be 3.0, so I’m happy to take over 2.75 at a decent price. Vancouver have been involved in a lot of high scoring matches in recent times, 8 of their last 9 have all ended over 2.5 and it’s been ages since they kept a clean sheet. It’s also been a long time since they last failed to score themselves though.  So I’m very happy to take the overs here. I just sense this is a match which will kick off into a potential thriller. I expect the Galaxy to show their class and get three points. But at fairly short odds of 1.80 I don’t mind missing out considering it’s been a while since they tasted victory in MLS. I expect Vancouver to run them close and I believe the best bet for this match is over 2.75.

Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Over 2.75 goals at 1.88

Prices correct at time of writing.

By @meatmansoccer.

Eastbridge, best prices on world football & now UK licensed!

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