Millwall v Watford – The Den at 12:00 live on BBC One
Sunday’s Asian Handicap preview focuses on the FA Cup 4th round clash between Millwall and Watford in a ‘not quite’ London Derby.
Millwall are in good form and with a place in the 5th round of the competition at stake, I’m expecting goals!
The last few weeks have been a time of upheaval for Millwall fans. The possibility of having to relocate to Kent, as a result of housing developers buying property around the stadium, has caused unease among supporters.
Home fans were relieved when the plans were abandoned mid-week and the team can now turn their focus to this FA Cup clash.
Millwall impressively beat Bournemouth 3-0 in the 3rd round of the competition and will believe they can beat this struggling Watford side.
The home team are unbeaten in 7 games across all competitions, although they’ve drawn both games since their FA Cup 3rd round victory, against Charlton (0-0) and Bradford (1-1).
They’ve won their last 4 games at The Den however and scored at least twice in each of these games.
Millwall are currently 9th in League 1, only 5 points off a play off spot.
The visitors’ have been hit by injuries in recent months and this has majorly contributed to their poor form.
Although Watford haven’t lost in 3 games, they’ve only won 1 of their last 8 across all competitions, with their sole victory coming against Burton (2-0) in the FA Cup.
Last weekend they drew 2-2 against Bournemouth with Kabasele and Deeney both getting on the scoresheet.
The new additions of Mauro Zarate (Fiorentina) and M’Baye Niang (loan from AC Milan) will ease their injury woes and provide a new attacking dimension.
Watford are currently 14th in the Premier League table and if their form doesn’t improve, they could easily be fighting a relegation battle.
Mazzarri’s side beat Arsenal at the Emirates in the quarter-final stages of the FA Cup last campaign and another good cup run would give Watford fans something to cheer about .
Asian Handicap Prices and Total Goals
Millwall have been in great form and will fancy their chances against Watford.
The home side look value +0.25 at 1.87 on the Asian Handicap market, in light of their impressive home form and Watford’s poor form.
There is even better value on the Asian Total Goals market however, with over 2.5 goals priced at 2.01.
67% of Millwall’s league matches have had over 2.5 goals scored in total and I am expecting a fair few goals again on Sunday, with both teams getting on the scoresheet.
Asian Handicap Recommendation: Over 2.5 goals at 2.01
Prices correct at time of writing.
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