Milan v Chievo – San Siro at 19:45 live on BT Sport
Gianluigi Donnarumma turned 18 on Saturday and AC Milan’s goalkeeping sensation was treated to a spectacular San Siro-themed birthday cake. He then celebrated his big day with another match-winning performance on Sunday against Sassuolo.
The Rossoneri overcame Sassuolo 1-0 on the road but it was far from convincing. The winning goal from Vincenzo Montella’s men shouldn’t have stood as Carlos Bacca slipped when taking his penalty, as a result his right-footed shot wound up deflecting up off his left and over the dive of Andrea Consigli.
Donnarumma’s display ensured Milan pocketed maximum points and the triumph made it three victories from four to push the Rossoneri back to within three points of European qualification.
Milan prohibitively short
Back at the San Siro, the hosts will be expected to extend that winning streak on Saturday evening with AC returning W8-D2-L3 when welcoming Serie A opposition under Montella’s guidance and six wins from eight when hosting teams currently below them in the standings.
But I’ve little interest in investing at prohibitively short pre-match prices or dipping into the Asian Handicap betting market with only San Siro victory arriving by more than a solitary goal plus injuries ruling out Riccardo Montolivo, Giacomo Bonaventura and Alessio Romagnoli.
Chievo enjoying their season
Chievo arrive in their best position at this stage of a season since 2010 and the Flying Donkeys negotiated a potentially trappy encounter with Pescara last weekend. The rock-bottom opponents hammered Genoa 5-0 in their first game under the returning Zdenek Zeman but were kept at arms length by Chievo.
Rolando Maran continues to work wonders at the Verona-based outfit and their current W3-D1-L1 run includes away success at both Sassuolo and Lazio. However, the visitors tend to struggle when travelling to the division’s elite with 10 losses from 12 at top-half teams, seven of which were by two goals or more.
Back goals on Saturday night
The Flying Donkeys have W3-D1-L10 in all games against the top-half this term but they have managed to score in 11 of those contests, including trips to high-flying Roma, Inter Milan and Lazio. In fact, the normally shot-shy club have scored in 19 of their 26 league dates already this term.
Captain and leading scorer Sergio Pellissier remains absent for Chievo but Romagnoli’s unavailability, combined with Milan’s return of only four shutouts in 15 Serie A matches, should give Maran’s men ample opportunity to get on the scoresheet come Saturday night.
With that in mind, it makes sense to look towards the goals markets. Over 2.5 Goals can be snapped up 1.97. That’s a generous offering considering it’s already proven profitable in 9/14 of Chievo’s games against the top-half and 10 of 18 when Milan have faced sides below them in the standings.
Asian Handicap Recommendation: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.97
Prices correct at time of writing.