Marseille v Guingamp – Stade Vélodrome at 16:00 at BT Sport
Marseille was unable to break a 40-year hoodoo in Bordeaux last Sunday night but head coach Rudi Garcia praised his side’s mental game after Morgan Sanson struck in injury time to seal a point in the wine-growing region.
OM stretched their unbeaten streak in Ligue 1 to eight games (W5-D3-L0) despite the absence of suspended Brazil midfielder Luiz Gustavo. With Gustavo available once more, captain Dimitri Payet back in the fold, plus the form and options from Florian Thauvin, Clinton N’Jie, Konstantinos Mitroglu, Lucas Ocampos and Valere Germain, Marseille pack a serious punch in the final third.
At the Stade Vélodrome, Garcia’s group have certainly put their quality to good use. Last time out here Marseille romped to a 5-0 thrashing of usually defensively-adept Caen meaning they’ve now notched at least twice in each of their past three outings in front of their adoring home supporters.
Marseille value to rack up high-scoring triumph
Goals have been a regular feature of Marseille matches under Garcia. Only three of his 20 games in charge at the Velodrome have featured fewer than two goals seven (35%) producing four goals or more – three of which arrived in OM’s most recent four fixtures here.
Those 20 tussles have resulted in 13 home victories, 10 of which arrived by at least a two-goal margin. So backing Marseille to repeat the feat on Sunday evening hold plenty of appeal with 1.920 available on the hosts covering the -1 Asian Handicap against Guingamp.
The visitors were held to a dour scoreless draw in Brittany against Angers last time out and Antoine Kombouare’s charges tend to do their best work in front of their home supporters. On their travels, Guingamp has suffered defeat in each of their last five, leaking at least two goals on each occasion.
Under Kombouare’s watch, the away side have suffered 17/25 (68%) defeats in games as guests, recording a solitary clean sheet. But Guingamp has often proven handy operators in the final third, scoring in three of their last four on their travels and in 15/25 (60%) under the current management.
We should expect the Brittany boys to at least come out and play in Marseille and that ambitious approach could prove to be Guingamp’s undoing in the Velodrome. Expect Marseille’s clinical attack to make the terrible travelers pay.
Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Marseille -1 at 1.920
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