Mainz v Monchengladbach – Coface Arena at 17:30 GMT live at BT Sport
Borussia Monchengladbach’s slim title prospects at the start of February have been extinguished on the back of four dreadful displays in their last four games. The Foals have suffered heavy defeats at home to Wolfsburg, Hertha Berlin and Bayern Munich, whilst picking up an undeserved point at Eintracht Frankfurt.
Last weekend’s 5-1 shellacking when welcoming current league leaders Bayern Munich could have been a whole lot worse had the Bavarian giants brought their shooting boots. Head coach Dieter Hecking admitted post-match he’s struggling to find the answers for Gladbach’s sudden downturn in performance levels.
After 20 games of the campaign, Monchengladbach enjoyed a 10-point advantage over fifth place; now, it’s down to three. Defeat in Mainz on Saturday evening coupled with a Frankfurt win over Dusseldorf would see them relinquish their place in the top four altogether, for the first time since late September at that.
Hecking’s men have conceded 12 goals in those aforementioned last four matches; the Foals had shipped just 18 in the first 20. No longer the tightest defence in the league, the visitors are also misfiring in the final-third – Thorgan Hazard has not hit the back of the net in seven, top scorer Alassane Plea in six.
The good news for Gladbach is that Mainz have lost all three of their meetings with top-half-of-the-table opposition in 2019. The 05ers were soundly beaten by Bayer Leverkusen and Wolfsburg before bouncing back with a comfortable 3-0 triumph over struggling Schalke, only to slip back into old ways this past weekend, going down 2-1 away to Hertha Berlin.
Although Sandro Schwarz’s are 11 points clear of the bottom three, they have trips to Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund still to come and will need to pick up as many positive results as possible to avoid being dragged into a relegation dogfight at the business end.
The hosts’ record against Gladbach is also alarming; Mainz have won just twice in 15 recent head-to-head encounters and their defending from set-pieces has also been picked up on in the German press. Schwarz’s men had conceded just two set-piece goals in the Hinrunde, but have leaked six in 2019.
Get with the goals
Both Mainz and Gladbach are desperate to get back into the grove, although both clubs harbour plenty of doubt in their defensive process right now. Such concerns are normally ripe for a goals-based selection and Over 2.5 Goals does look too big to ignore on Saturday evening.
It’s banked in half of Gladbach’s away days with the guests scoring in all bar two road trips this term. Meanwhile, Mainz have seen Over 2.5 Goals collect in nine of their past 10 Bundesliga outings, as well as 14/17 going further back to October.
Overall, eight of Mainz’s 12 ties as hosts have produced at least three goals, including all four meetings with teams occupying top-six berths coming into the weekend.
Asian Total Goals Betting Recommendation: Over 2.50 goals at 1.820
Preview by: @MarkOHaire.
Can Gladbach shake their four-match winless run against Mainz on Saturday? Go settle your Mainz v Monchengladbach Asain Total Goals bets with VOdds or through Eastbridge’s Skype betting service at custserve01!