Liverpool v Swansea – Anfield at 12:30 live on BT Sport 1
My first Asian Handicap preview of the weekend takes us to Anfield, where Liverpool host Swansea in Saturday’s lunch-time fixture.
Swansea have lost 5 of their last 6 Premier League games and against Liverpool, I’m expecting their losing run to continue.
It’s been a busy week for Liverpool.
On Wednesday evening Lucas Leiva scored his 1st goal in 7 years to send Liverpool into the 4th round of the FA Cup, at the expense of League Two Plymouth. The Premier League side could have won more comfortably however, had it not been for Origi’s penalty miss.
Last weekend, The Reds drew 1-1 at Old Trafford in the league and were unlucky not to come away with all 3 points. James Milner gave Liverpool a first half lead by converting from the spot, but Ibrahimovic equalised in the 84th minute.
Liverpool are now undefeated in 7 matches & haven’t lost at home in the Premier League since January 2016!
Klopp’s side are 3rd in the league table, joint on 45 points with Spurs (2nd). They remain 7 points behind league leaders Chelsea however.
Despite all the praise, prior to their FA Cup replay against Plymouth, Liverpool haven’t tasted victory in 4 games across all competitions.
They’ve drawn their last 2 Premier League games against Sunderland (2-2) and Man United (1-1) and dropped 2 important points against The Black Cats; a game which they were heavy favourites to win.
I’m expecting Liverpool to get back to winning ways comfortably against Swansea however, as I can’t see the away side posing much of a threat.
It wasn’t a winning start for new Swansea boss Paul Clement, as his side lost 4-0 at home to Arsenal in the league last weekend.
The away team are rock bottom of the Premier League table with 15 points and are in the midst of a relegation battle.
Away from home Swansea have been poor, losing 7 of their 10 games to date.
Defensively, Swansea have struggled and haven’t kept a clean sheet in their last 6 league matches. It is hoped that the £4m signing of Martin Olsson from Norwich will bring some stability to the back-line.
At the other end of the pitch, things don’t look much better however, as the visitors have failed to find the net in 3 of their last 5 league games.
Striker Fernando Llorente has been linked with a move to Chelsea, with a possible loan deal of Michy Batshuayi on the cards in return.
Swansea have conceded the opening goal in 71% of their matches and I think this percentage will only increase on Saturday.
Asian Handicap Prices and Total Goals
I am sure there will be goals in this game, although with the Asian Line set at over 3.25 goals for an under evens return, I don’t make this value.
Backing Liverpool on the Asian Handicap market looks a more attractive prospect and I think The Reds will win the game by at least 2 goals. Therefore I recommend backing Klopp’s men -1.75, which looks value at 1.84.
Asian Handicap Recommendation: Liverpool -1.75 at 1.84
Prices correct at time of writing.
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