Leicester v Man City – King Power Stadium at 19:45 live on BT Sport 1

We have a mouthwatering fixture this evening in the Premier League as Leicester welcome Manchester City to the King Power Stadium.

The Foxes were top of the table at Christmas and despite losing to Liverpool on Boxing Day, they remained in top spot. City closed the gap however with a comfortable 4-1 win over Sunderland and Arsenal went top with a win over Bournemouth last night.

A win for the Citizens would put them level on points with the Foxes, whilst a win for the hosts would put them 2 points clear of Arsenal and in pole position going into the New Year.

Their 1-0 defeat to Liverpool was only their second loss of the season and the first time they have failed to score this campaign. Another defeat today and they will drop to 3rd, by goal difference behind City but still just a point behind Arsenal in first.

Everyone has been expecting Leicester’s bubble to burst and they are priced up bigger than they were away to Liverpool for tonight. They have a daunting run of fixtures and we could start see them slipping down the table and outside the top 4, or even top 6 by the end of February.

Man City have been poor on the road this season however, in fact 13th place West Brom have a better away record than the Citizens. Only 8 of their 37 goals have come away from home but they have kept 5 clean sheets from their 8 road matches, conceding just 8 times and 6 of those came against Arsenal and Tottenham.

They haven’t won away from home in 5, drawing 2 and losing 3, and are desperate to pick up 3 points away from home and close the gap at the top.

Man City should expect a lot of the ball tonight and will be able to create plenty of chances against a deep playing Leicester defence. The pace of Aguero could prove the difference between the two sides but they will need to be careful of the Foxes counter-attacking style.

Leicester’s main goal threats, Riyad Mahrez and Jamie Vardy were both substituted in their defeat to Liverpool which shows how much importance Ranieri puts on this match. Both are expected to start although there are rumours that Vardy could be suffering from a fever.

Goals are expected here this evening as the market suggests, but I think that Man City will come away with all 3 points. Despite their poor away form, and the expectation they will concede, I believe they can outscore Leicester just as Arsenal did in the Foxes only home defeat of the season.

It should be a belter and Man City -0.5 on the Asian Handicap betting market is my recommendation.

Asian Handicap Betting Recommendation: Man City -0.5 at 1.88

Prices correct a time of writing.

By @SC457.

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