Leicester v Derby – King Power Stadium at 19:45 live on BBC One
My latest Asian Handicap preview focuses on Wednesday’s FA Cup 4th round replay between Leicester and Derby.
Wes Morgan salvaged a replay for Leicester last time round, scoring a late equaliser to make the final score 2-2.
Leicester beat Everton 2-1 in the 3rd round to secure a 4th round tie against Derby, but failed to beat The Championship side at Pride Park on January 27th.
On the whole, the defending Premier League champions are having a dreadful season and they’ve failed to win their last 5 games, which includes 4 straight defeats.
Last weekend Leicester suffered a 3-0 loss at home to Man United and collapsed just before half-time, with United scoring 2 goals in 2 minutes.
Leicester are the only team across the top 4 divisions not to have scored a single league goal in 2017 and The Foxes are sailing dangerously close to the relegation zone. Ranieri’s men are 16th in the Premier League table and now just 1 point off the relegation places.
The home side have conceded 12 goals in their last 5 games and look a totally different defensive outlet compared to last season.
Getting through to the 5th Round of the FA Cup would give Leicester a much needed confidence boost, although it’s going to be no easy task against this ambitious Derby side.
Derby beat West Brom 2-1 in the 3rd round to set up this 4th round FA Cup tie and they were unlucky to come away with a draw against Leicester on home soil.
In a game which saw Darren Bent score a goal at both ends, Leicester managed to score late on to force the replay.
Last weekend Derby lost 1-0 away to Newcastle in the Championship, ending a run of 3 games undefeated.
Derby’s home form is considerably better than their away form however and The Rams are 10 games undefeated across all competitions at Pride Park.
The travelling team have lost 3 of their last 5 away games, although they will fancy their chances against this struggling Leicester side.
The away side are currently 8th in the Championship table and are only 3 points off a play-off spot.
Tom Ince is Derby’s top-scorer and has 11 goals to his name and he’ll pose the main threat to Leicester’s defence.
Asian Handicap Prices
86% of Leicester’s league points have come at home this season and The Foxes’ losing run must come to an end at some point.
Taking into account their decent home form and Derby’s weaker away form, I’m backing Leicester to win this tie and they look value -0.5 on the Asian Handicap market at 2.01.
Ranieri is coming under increasing pressure and an FA Cup win would certainly ease this slightly.
Asian Handicap Recommendation: Leicester -0.5 at 2.01
Prices correct at time of writing.
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